?史蒂夫·鮑爾默并未將投資分散于多個(gè)領(lǐng)域。相反,他的投資組合幾乎完全依賴于微軟(Microsoft)股票。這位微軟前首席執(zhí)行官敦促散戶投資者保持簡(jiǎn)單。
微軟前首席執(zhí)行官史蒂夫·鮑爾默認(rèn)為,大多數(shù)投資者應(yīng)遵循簡(jiǎn)約原則,他個(gè)人的投資組合也極為簡(jiǎn)單,幾乎完全依賴于單一股票。
據(jù)《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》報(bào)道,在史蒂夫·鮑爾默的投資組合中,微軟股票占比超過(guò)80%,其余部分是股票指數(shù)基金。
他在周日發(fā)表的《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》問(wèn)答中表示:“微軟的表現(xiàn)幾乎超越了我能擁有的所有其他資產(chǎn)。顯而易見(jiàn)的是,這項(xiàng)策略取得了巨大的成功?!?/p>
包括股息在內(nèi),微軟近年來(lái)的年平均回報(bào)率約為29%,而標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的平均回報(bào)率約為13%。
這得益于微軟支持的OpenAI所掀起的人工智能熱潮。自2022年11月ChatGPT發(fā)布以來(lái),微軟的股價(jià)一路飆升,市值超過(guò)3萬(wàn)億美元。
曾在2000年至2014年間擔(dān)任微軟首席執(zhí)行官的鮑爾默透露,他的投資理念受到沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)建議的影響:對(duì)于散戶投資者而言,相較于試圖戰(zhàn)勝市場(chǎng),投資標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)基金可能更為明智。
誠(chéng)然,這位伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司(Berkshire Hathaway)的首席執(zhí)行官并未將其80%的投資組合集中在單只股票上。然而,鮑爾默在未能找到能夠持續(xù)跑贏市場(chǎng)的基金經(jīng)理后,最終確定了這一不同尋常的投資策略。
根據(jù)彭博億萬(wàn)富翁指數(shù)的統(tǒng)計(jì),鮑爾默目前的身價(jià)為1510億美元。他在接受《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》采訪時(shí)表示,他和妻子已將指數(shù)基金的投資方向調(diào)整為只專注于美國(guó)和歐洲,同時(shí)“可能”持有部分日本資產(chǎn)。此外,他還退出了私募股權(quán)投資,只關(guān)注頭號(hào)控股公司微軟。
“我喜歡這種方式。這很簡(jiǎn)單,"他補(bǔ)充道?!拔覀兊呢?cái)務(wù)狀況一直很好。在這種情況下,我所追求的是無(wú)需在某個(gè)領(lǐng)域投入過(guò)多時(shí)間、承受不必要的焦慮以及耗費(fèi)大量腦力。如果我們能夠獲得7%的回報(bào)率就已經(jīng)很幸運(yùn)了,因?yàn)檫@是標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾指數(shù)的長(zhǎng)期平均回報(bào)率。”
至于他持有哪只指數(shù)基金,鮑爾默顯得有些不確定,他說(shuō)如果不是標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)基金,那就是小盤(pán)股羅素2000指數(shù)基金,或是“某種反映市場(chǎng)整體狀況的基金”。
與此同時(shí),他的另一項(xiàng)重大投資——洛杉磯快船隊(duì)(Los Angeles Clippers)——似乎也表現(xiàn)不俗。他在2014年以20億美元的價(jià)格買(mǎi)下了NBA特許經(jīng)營(yíng)權(quán),根據(jù)《福布斯》的數(shù)據(jù),目前其價(jià)值已攀升至55億美元。
當(dāng)被問(wèn)及他的投資策略是否適用于普通投資者時(shí),他回答說(shuō):"我會(huì)說(shuō),‘保持簡(jiǎn)單’——除非你打算成為這個(gè)領(lǐng)域的專家?!?
研究顯示,追蹤標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的指數(shù)基金的表現(xiàn)始終優(yōu)于大多數(shù)主動(dòng)管理型基金,尤其是近期美國(guó)資產(chǎn)在全球市場(chǎng)占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位的情況下。
晨星公司(Morningstar)7月份的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,過(guò)去10年里,跑贏標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的主動(dòng)型基金的平均比例為27%。此外,分散投資于不同資產(chǎn)類別和地域的基金表現(xiàn)也未能超越標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)。Cambria Funds 6月份的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,在過(guò)去15年中,這類投資組合有13年的表現(xiàn)落后于標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)。
毋庸置疑的是,近期標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的絕大部分漲幅來(lái)自微軟和英偉達(dá)(Nvidia)等少數(shù)幾家科技巨頭,這使得指數(shù)投資者很容易受到單一股票下跌的影響。
與此同時(shí),華爾街的懷疑論者認(rèn)為,美國(guó)市場(chǎng)在全球投資者中占據(jù)壓倒性優(yōu)勢(shì)是一個(gè)危險(xiǎn)信號(hào)。
洛克菲勒國(guó)際(Rockefeller International)董事長(zhǎng)魯奇爾·夏爾馬(Ruchir Sharma)本月早些時(shí)候在《金融時(shí)報(bào)》上寫(xiě)道:“關(guān)于科技或人工智能領(lǐng)域泡沫,或是專注于增長(zhǎng)和動(dòng)量投資策略泡沫的討論,掩蓋了美國(guó)市場(chǎng)的泡沫之母。美國(guó)徹底主宰了全球投資者的思維空間,導(dǎo)致其被過(guò)度持有、高估和炒作,且達(dá)到了前所未有的程度?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
?史蒂夫·鮑爾默并未將投資分散于多個(gè)領(lǐng)域。相反,他的投資組合幾乎完全依賴于微軟(Microsoft)股票。這位微軟前首席執(zhí)行官敦促散戶投資者保持簡(jiǎn)單。
微軟前首席執(zhí)行官史蒂夫·鮑爾默認(rèn)為,大多數(shù)投資者應(yīng)遵循簡(jiǎn)約原則,他個(gè)人的投資組合也極為簡(jiǎn)單,幾乎完全依賴于單一股票。
據(jù)《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》報(bào)道,在史蒂夫·鮑爾默的投資組合中,微軟股票占比超過(guò)80%,其余部分是股票指數(shù)基金。
他在周日發(fā)表的《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》問(wèn)答中表示:“微軟的表現(xiàn)幾乎超越了我能擁有的所有其他資產(chǎn)。顯而易見(jiàn)的是,這項(xiàng)策略取得了巨大的成功?!?/p>
包括股息在內(nèi),微軟近年來(lái)的年平均回報(bào)率約為29%,而標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的平均回報(bào)率約為13%。
這得益于微軟支持的OpenAI所掀起的人工智能熱潮。自2022年11月ChatGPT發(fā)布以來(lái),微軟的股價(jià)一路飆升,市值超過(guò)3萬(wàn)億美元。
曾在2000年至2014年間擔(dān)任微軟首席執(zhí)行官的鮑爾默透露,他的投資理念受到沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)建議的影響:對(duì)于散戶投資者而言,相較于試圖戰(zhàn)勝市場(chǎng),投資標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)基金可能更為明智。
誠(chéng)然,這位伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司(Berkshire Hathaway)的首席執(zhí)行官并未將其80%的投資組合集中在單只股票上。然而,鮑爾默在未能找到能夠持續(xù)跑贏市場(chǎng)的基金經(jīng)理后,最終確定了這一不同尋常的投資策略。
根據(jù)彭博億萬(wàn)富翁指數(shù)的統(tǒng)計(jì),鮑爾默目前的身價(jià)為1510億美元。他在接受《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》采訪時(shí)表示,他和妻子已將指數(shù)基金的投資方向調(diào)整為只專注于美國(guó)和歐洲,同時(shí)“可能”持有部分日本資產(chǎn)。此外,他還退出了私募股權(quán)投資,只關(guān)注頭號(hào)控股公司微軟。
“我喜歡這種方式。這很簡(jiǎn)單,"他補(bǔ)充道?!拔覀兊呢?cái)務(wù)狀況一直很好。在這種情況下,我所追求的是無(wú)需在某個(gè)領(lǐng)域投入過(guò)多時(shí)間、承受不必要的焦慮以及耗費(fèi)大量腦力。如果我們能夠獲得7%的回報(bào)率就已經(jīng)很幸運(yùn)了,因?yàn)檫@是標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾指數(shù)的長(zhǎng)期平均回報(bào)率?!?/p>
至于他持有哪只指數(shù)基金,鮑爾默顯得有些不確定,他說(shuō)如果不是標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)基金,那就是小盤(pán)股羅素2000指數(shù)基金,或是“某種反映市場(chǎng)整體狀況的基金”。
與此同時(shí),他的另一項(xiàng)重大投資——洛杉磯快船隊(duì)(Los Angeles Clippers)——似乎也表現(xiàn)不俗。他在2014年以20億美元的價(jià)格買(mǎi)下了NBA特許經(jīng)營(yíng)權(quán),根據(jù)《福布斯》的數(shù)據(jù),目前其價(jià)值已攀升至55億美元。
當(dāng)被問(wèn)及他的投資策略是否適用于普通投資者時(shí),他回答說(shuō):"我會(huì)說(shuō),‘保持簡(jiǎn)單’——除非你打算成為這個(gè)領(lǐng)域的專家?!?
研究顯示,追蹤標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的指數(shù)基金的表現(xiàn)始終優(yōu)于大多數(shù)主動(dòng)管理型基金,尤其是近期美國(guó)資產(chǎn)在全球市場(chǎng)占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位的情況下。
晨星公司(Morningstar)7月份的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,過(guò)去10年里,跑贏標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的主動(dòng)型基金的平均比例為27%。此外,分散投資于不同資產(chǎn)類別和地域的基金表現(xiàn)也未能超越標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)。Cambria Funds 6月份的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,在過(guò)去15年中,這類投資組合有13年的表現(xiàn)落后于標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)。
毋庸置疑的是,近期標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)的絕大部分漲幅來(lái)自微軟和英偉達(dá)(Nvidia)等少數(shù)幾家科技巨頭,這使得指數(shù)投資者很容易受到單一股票下跌的影響。
與此同時(shí),華爾街的懷疑論者認(rèn)為,美國(guó)市場(chǎng)在全球投資者中占據(jù)壓倒性優(yōu)勢(shì)是一個(gè)危險(xiǎn)信號(hào)。
洛克菲勒國(guó)際(Rockefeller International)董事長(zhǎng)魯奇爾·夏爾馬(Ruchir Sharma)本月早些時(shí)候在《金融時(shí)報(bào)》上寫(xiě)道:“關(guān)于科技或人工智能領(lǐng)域泡沫,或是專注于增長(zhǎng)和動(dòng)量投資策略泡沫的討論,掩蓋了美國(guó)市場(chǎng)的泡沫之母。美國(guó)徹底主宰了全球投資者的思維空間,導(dǎo)致其被過(guò)度持有、高估和炒作,且達(dá)到了前所未有的程度?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
? Steve Ballmer doesn’t diversify his investments. Instead, his portfolio is almost entirely dependent on Microsoft stock. The former Microsoft CEO urged retail investors to keep things simple.
Former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer believes most investors should keep things simple, and his own holdings are so simple they depend overwhelmingly on just one stock.
According to the Wall Street Journal, more than 80% of his investment portfolio is in Microsoft stock with the rest in stock index funds.
“Microsoft’s outperformed just about every other asset I could have owned,” he told the Journal in a Q&A that was published on Sunday. “It’s a little hard to say that it hasn’t worked out.”
Including dividends, Microsoft has returned an average of about 29% annually in recent years, while the S&P 500 has returned about 13% on average.
That was helped by the AI boom that was launched by Microsoft-backed OpenAI. Since the release of ChatGPT in November 2022, Microsoft’s stock price has soared, vaulting its market cap above $3 trillion.
Ballmer, who served as Microsoft’s boss from 2000 to 2014, said his philosophy was shaped by Warren Buffett’s advice that retail investors are better off parking their money in an S&P 500 index fund rather than trying to outsmart the market.
Of course, the Berkshire Hathaway CEO doesn’t have 80% of his portfolio in one stock. But Ballmer settled on his unusual investment strategy after having trouble finding money managers who regularly beat the market.
Now worth $151 billion on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, he told the Journal that he and his wife shifted an index fund to be just the U.S. and Europe while they “maybe” own some Japanese assets too. He’s also getting out of private equity and only really follows top holding Microsoft.
“I like it. It’s simple,” he added. “We’ve been very blessed financially. What I seek in this instance is not to have to spend a lot of time, anxiety, brain power in an area where we’re blessed enough if we make 7% because that’s the standard return on the S&P over the long run.”
As far as which index fund he owns, Ballmer sounded uncertain, saying if it’s not the S&P 500, then it’s the small-cap Russell 2000 or “some broad mirror of the market.”
Meanwhile, his other big investment—the Los Angeles Clippers—also appears to be doing well. He bought the NBA franchise in 2014 for $2 billion, and it’s now worth $5.5 billion, according to Forbes.
When asked if his strategy can apply to everyday investors, he replied, “I would say, ‘Keep it simple’—unless you’re really going to become an expert.”
Studies have shown index funds tracking the S&P 500 consistently beat most actively managed funds, especially as U.S. assets have reigned supreme in global markets lately.
Over the past 10 years, the average share of active funds that beat the S&P 500 was 27%, according to Morningstar data from July. In addition, funds that are diversified across asset classes and geographies also fared worse than the S&P 500. Such portfolios have lagged the index in 13 of the last 15 years, according to data from Cambria Funds in June.
To be sure, the vast majority of the S&P 500’s recent gains have come from just a handful of tech giants, such as Microsoft and Nvidia, leaving index investors vulnerable to a single-stock drop.
Meanwhile, skeptics on Wall Street see the overwhelming dominance of U.S. markets among global investors as a red flag.
“Talk of bubbles in tech or AI, or in investment strategies focused on growth and momentum, obscures the mother of all bubbles in U.S. markets,” Ruchir Sharma, chair of Rockefeller International, wrote in the Financial Times earlier this month. “Thoroughly dominating the mind space of global investors, America is over-owned, overvalued, and overhyped to a degree never seen before.”