特斯拉(Tesla)恢復(fù)了增長勢頭。
幾個月前,埃隆·馬斯克的特斯拉幾乎淪為華爾街的笑柄,例如富國銀行(Wells Fargo)曾諷刺它是不成長的成長股。權(quán)威人士開始質(zhì)疑,在特斯拉的表現(xiàn)落后于標(biāo)普基準(zhǔn)指數(shù)的其他499只股票時,甚至落后于丑聞纏身的波音(Boeing),為什么還有人將它列入備受關(guān)注的“美股七雄”。
但現(xiàn)在情況已經(jīng)發(fā)生了改變。恰逢下半年剛剛開始,特斯拉本周在短短三天時間里市值增長了高達1,500億美元,彌補了年初至今的所有損失。
維德布什證券(Wedbush Securities)科技分析師丹·埃弗斯在周三寫道:“特斯拉最糟糕的階段已經(jīng)結(jié)束,因為我們認為電動汽車需求正開始回到這家顛覆性科技巨頭的手中?!彼鼘⑻厮估哪繕?biāo)股價從275美元上調(diào)至300美元,并重申了他的“跑贏大盤”評級。
馬斯克現(xiàn)在又恢復(fù)了傲慢的態(tài)度,他把一個天馬行空的增長目標(biāo),換成了另外一個超出常理的目標(biāo),并警告包括比爾·蓋茨在內(nèi)任何阻礙他實現(xiàn)目標(biāo)的做空者都將面臨“滅頂之災(zāi)”。
近兩個月的大部分時間,特斯拉的股價在180美元左右盤整,而其股票在成交量大增的情況下突破200天移動均線后,多頭看到了進一步上漲的空間,現(xiàn)在看來,它可能會打破三年下行趨勢。
上月末,一個支持特斯拉的熱門賬戶提醒粉絲們,方舟投資(ARK Invest)的凱西·伍德在2019年評價圖表技術(shù)問題時曾表示“股票觸底時間越長,上漲幅度越大”。馬斯克馬上回應(yīng)說:“確實如此?!?/p>
第二季度交貨量超出了下調(diào)后的預(yù)期
認為特斯拉股票已經(jīng)觸底并將在未來幾個月繼續(xù)反彈的觀點,在目前顯現(xiàn)出來的一些基本面中有所體現(xiàn)。
例如,特斯拉周二公布的第二季度汽車交付量,與第一季度形成了鮮明對比。第一季度的交付量甚至沒有達到最悲觀的預(yù)期。最近幾周,在對特斯拉汽車交付量的預(yù)期持續(xù)下降后,特斯拉的汽車銷量相對小幅下降,進而超出了共同預(yù)期,終于解決了這個問題。
特斯拉利潤豐厚的儲能業(yè)務(wù)大幅增長,其部署規(guī)模比創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的上一季度翻了一番以上,進一步證明了特斯拉不止是一家電動汽車公司。
直到最近,許多分析師和投資者還主張,他們需要看到特斯拉停止下調(diào)收益預(yù)期,他們對公司的信心才會有明顯改善。
在特斯拉周二公布出人意料的交付量數(shù)據(jù)后,埃弗斯等多頭現(xiàn)在認為特斯拉已經(jīng)恢復(fù)了市場對于其未來增長的信心。埃弗斯曾形容第一季度的交付量是“噩夢”和“不折不扣的災(zāi)難”。
埃弗斯繼續(xù)說道:“特斯拉和馬斯克在第二季度的表現(xiàn)可謂大逆轉(zhuǎn),在全球電動汽車需求仍不穩(wěn)定的情況下,華爾街曾預(yù)測特斯拉本季度的業(yè)績一定無法達到預(yù)期,但特斯拉卻在對投資者至關(guān)重要的時刻拿出了出色的業(yè)績。”
令人痛苦的高利率預(yù)計將在今年晚些時候有所下降,CyberCab無人駕駛出租車即將在8月8日發(fā)布,而且新的入門級特斯拉汽車將在未來六個月內(nèi)上市,因此特斯拉的股價將繼續(xù)上漲。它甚至有可能贏回在“美股七雄”中的地位。(財富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
特斯拉(Tesla)恢復(fù)了增長勢頭。
幾個月前,埃隆·馬斯克的特斯拉幾乎淪為華爾街的笑柄,例如富國銀行(Wells Fargo)曾諷刺它是不成長的成長股。權(quán)威人士開始質(zhì)疑,在特斯拉的表現(xiàn)落后于標(biāo)普基準(zhǔn)指數(shù)的其他499只股票時,甚至落后于丑聞纏身的波音(Boeing),為什么還有人將它列入備受關(guān)注的“美股七雄”。
但現(xiàn)在情況已經(jīng)發(fā)生了改變。恰逢下半年剛剛開始,特斯拉本周在短短三天時間里市值增長了高達1,500億美元,彌補了年初至今的所有損失。
維德布什證券(Wedbush Securities)科技分析師丹·埃弗斯在周三寫道:“特斯拉最糟糕的階段已經(jīng)結(jié)束,因為我們認為電動汽車需求正開始回到這家顛覆性科技巨頭的手中?!彼鼘⑻厮估哪繕?biāo)股價從275美元上調(diào)至300美元,并重申了他的“跑贏大盤”評級。
馬斯克現(xiàn)在又恢復(fù)了傲慢的態(tài)度,他把一個天馬行空的增長目標(biāo),換成了另外一個超出常理的目標(biāo),并警告包括比爾·蓋茨在內(nèi)任何阻礙他實現(xiàn)目標(biāo)的做空者都將面臨“滅頂之災(zāi)”。
近兩個月的大部分時間,特斯拉的股價在180美元左右盤整,而其股票在成交量大增的情況下突破200天移動均線后,多頭看到了進一步上漲的空間,現(xiàn)在看來,它可能會打破三年下行趨勢。
上月末,一個支持特斯拉的熱門賬戶提醒粉絲們,方舟投資(ARK Invest)的凱西·伍德在2019年評價圖表技術(shù)問題時曾表示“股票觸底時間越長,上漲幅度越大”。馬斯克馬上回應(yīng)說:“確實如此?!?/p>
第二季度交貨量超出了下調(diào)后的預(yù)期
認為特斯拉股票已經(jīng)觸底并將在未來幾個月繼續(xù)反彈的觀點,在目前顯現(xiàn)出來的一些基本面中有所體現(xiàn)。
例如,特斯拉周二公布的第二季度汽車交付量,與第一季度形成了鮮明對比。第一季度的交付量甚至沒有達到最悲觀的預(yù)期。最近幾周,在對特斯拉汽車交付量的預(yù)期持續(xù)下降后,特斯拉的汽車銷量相對小幅下降,進而超出了共同預(yù)期,終于解決了這個問題。
特斯拉利潤豐厚的儲能業(yè)務(wù)大幅增長,其部署規(guī)模比創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的上一季度翻了一番以上,進一步證明了特斯拉不止是一家電動汽車公司。
直到最近,許多分析師和投資者還主張,他們需要看到特斯拉停止下調(diào)收益預(yù)期,他們對公司的信心才會有明顯改善。
在特斯拉周二公布出人意料的交付量數(shù)據(jù)后,埃弗斯等多頭現(xiàn)在認為特斯拉已經(jīng)恢復(fù)了市場對于其未來增長的信心。埃弗斯曾形容第一季度的交付量是“噩夢”和“不折不扣的災(zāi)難”。
埃弗斯繼續(xù)說道:“特斯拉和馬斯克在第二季度的表現(xiàn)可謂大逆轉(zhuǎn),在全球電動汽車需求仍不穩(wěn)定的情況下,華爾街曾預(yù)測特斯拉本季度的業(yè)績一定無法達到預(yù)期,但特斯拉卻在對投資者至關(guān)重要的時刻拿出了出色的業(yè)績?!?/p>
令人痛苦的高利率預(yù)計將在今年晚些時候有所下降,CyberCab無人駕駛出租車即將在8月8日發(fā)布,而且新的入門級特斯拉汽車將在未來六個月內(nèi)上市,因此特斯拉的股價將繼續(xù)上漲。它甚至有可能贏回在“美股七雄”中的地位。(財富中文網(wǎng))
翻譯:劉進龍
審校:汪皓
RICHARD BORD—WIREIMAGE
RICHARD BORD—WIREIMAGE
The swagger is back in Tesla’s step.
A few months ago, Elon Musk’s company was the butt of every joke on Wall Street, a growth stock with no growth to quote Wells Fargo. Pundits began questioning why anyone still even included it among the high-flying Magnificent Seven after Tesla trailed all 499 other stocks in the benchmark S&P index—even the scandal-ridden Boeing.
No longer. Just in time for the start of the second half, Tesla has fully recouped its year-to-date losses after adding an eye-watering $150 billion in value to its market cap over the span of just three days this week.
“The worst is in the rearview mirror for Tesla as we believe the EV demand story is starting to return to the disruptive tech stalwart,” Wedbush Securities tech analyst Dan Ives wrote on Wednesday, upgrading his price target to $300 from $275 and reaffirming his “outperform” rating.
Musk is now back to his brash old self, exchanging one fantastical growth target that defies human reason for another while warning any short seller that gets in his way will be “obliterated”—Bill Gates included.
After consolidating around $180 for the better part of two months, bulls see further room for gains after the stock broke above the 200-day moving average under heavy trading volume and now looks like it could snap the three-year downward trend.
When one popular pro-Tesla account reminded the fan community late last month of the 2019 words of ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood regarding chart technicals that “the longer the base, the bigger the break out,” Musk quickly replied: “True.”
Q2 deliveries beat reduced expectations
This belief the stock has bottomed out and is poised to continue its rally in the coming months is reflected in some of the fundamentals now emerging.
Tuesday’s announcement of second-quarter vehicle deliveries for example was a stark contrast to the first quarter figures that badly missed even the most bearish of forecasts. After expectations had consistently fallen in recent weeks, Tesla finally managed to draw a line under the issue by beating consensus with a comparatively mild decline in car sales.
Massive growth in its lucrative energy storage business also helped support the argument it is not just an EV company, as deployment volumes more than doubled over the previous quarterly record.
Many analysts and investors had until recently argued they needed to see an end to the downward revisions in earnings estimates before sentiment could sustainably improve.
Following Tuesday’s deliveries surprise, bulls like Ives—who described the Q1 volumes as both a “nightmare” and “unmitigated disaster”—now believe the company has renewed the market’s faith in its growth story.
“This was a huge comeback performance from Tesla and Musk in 2Q with the Street expecting a clear miss this quarter with EV demand still choppy globally, yet Tesla delivered strong numbers at a key time for investors,” he continued.
With painfully high interest rates expected to ease later this year, the Aug. 8 reveal of the CyberCab robotaxi just around the corner, and a new entry level Tesla slated to debut around six months from now, the stock could be poised for further gains. It may even earn back its place in the pantheon of the Magnificent Seven.