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烏克蘭糧食生產(chǎn)正常,但是運(yùn)不出去

TRISTAN BOVE
2022-05-12

烏克蘭的糧食儲(chǔ)存能力已達(dá)到極限,但世界其他國(guó)家卻面臨饑餓威脅。

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在俄烏沖突爆發(fā)并停止糧食出口之前,烏克蘭是世界上最大的糧食出口國(guó)之一,其收獲的小麥占世界總量的11%,玉米占17%。幾十年來(lái),它一直被稱為歐洲糧倉(cāng)。

盡管俄羅斯軍隊(duì)封鎖了烏克蘭的港口,但該國(guó)的收成仍在繼續(xù)增加,大多數(shù)糧食都無(wú)法從烏克蘭運(yùn)出。據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織稱,現(xiàn)在,數(shù)百萬(wàn)噸糧食滯留烏克蘭,該國(guó)的儲(chǔ)存能力已達(dá)到極限,但世界其他國(guó)家卻面臨饑餓威脅。

聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家約瑟夫·史密賀伯(Josef Schmidhuber)表示,由于海港封鎖和基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施問(wèn)題,目前有近2500萬(wàn)噸糧食滯留烏克蘭,無(wú)法運(yùn)出。

在上周五的新聞發(fā)布會(huì)上,他警告說(shuō)烏克蘭的“情況近乎怪誕”,谷物正按照常規(guī)時(shí)間表收割,但無(wú)法運(yùn)出該國(guó)。

史密賀伯表示:“[有]近2500萬(wàn)噸糧食可以出口,但由于基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施問(wèn)題和港口封鎖,這些糧食無(wú)法運(yùn)出?!?/p>

他澄清說(shuō),到目前為止,俄烏沖突并未對(duì)收成產(chǎn)生重大影響,但全球市場(chǎng)越來(lái)越難以獲得烏克蘭的糧食類大宗商品。

史密賀伯解釋說(shuō),烏克蘭的大部分冬季作物都在該國(guó)西部種植和收獲,遠(yuǎn)離俄烏沖突的沖擊,因此,俄烏沖突并未影響近期的收成。他補(bǔ)充說(shuō),按計(jì)劃,已經(jīng)種植了約一半的夏季作物,但不確定能收獲多少。

史密賀伯說(shuō):“未來(lái)可能會(huì)出現(xiàn)可觀的收成?!钡a(bǔ)充說(shuō),糧食運(yùn)出烏克蘭的前景仍不確定,尤其是如果黑海港口仍被俄羅斯軍隊(duì)封鎖的話。

數(shù)月來(lái),烏克蘭船只一直被阻止離開黑海港口,聯(lián)合國(guó)世界糧食計(jì)劃署駐德國(guó)辦事處主任本周早些時(shí)候宣布,目前有近450萬(wàn)噸糧食儲(chǔ)存在烏克蘭港口的集裝箱中,由于海上航線不安全或被占領(lǐng)而無(wú)法運(yùn)出。

據(jù)史密賀伯稱,烏克蘭的糧食運(yùn)輸通常通過(guò)海運(yùn)完成,但現(xiàn)在越來(lái)越頻繁地通過(guò)鐵路運(yùn)出,他說(shuō)這可能是極其復(fù)雜的。由于鐵路規(guī)格不同,例如一條軌道上的鐵軌之間寬度不同,通過(guò)火車運(yùn)出糧食,有時(shí)需要卸載糧食并將糧食搬到新車廂上。

據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織稱,烏克蘭和俄羅斯是世界上一些主要農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的最大供應(yīng)國(guó),包括小麥、油菜籽、玉米和葵花籽油。這些關(guān)鍵的全球供應(yīng)鏈的中斷使得食品價(jià)格上漲,加劇了世界上一些最脆弱地區(qū)的饑餓問(wèn)題。

據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織稱,還有一些報(bào)道稱俄羅斯軍隊(duì)一直在搶劫烏克蘭的糧食倉(cāng)庫(kù)。

史密賀伯表示:"有傳聞?wù)f,俄羅斯軍隊(duì)毀壞了倉(cāng)庫(kù),正在搶奪現(xiàn)有儲(chǔ)備糧。"他補(bǔ)充說(shuō),還有跡象表明俄羅斯軍隊(duì)也在偷竊農(nóng)用設(shè)備,這可能會(huì)危及未來(lái)收成。

他說(shuō):“糧食被俄羅斯偷走,并通過(guò)卡車運(yùn)往俄羅斯?!?/p>

俄烏沖突走向的不確定性,烏克蘭有限的糧食儲(chǔ)存能力以及俄羅斯軍隊(duì)一直在偷竊農(nóng)用設(shè)備和破壞收成,意味著全球糧食價(jià)格——根據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織最新的月度食品價(jià)格指數(shù),尤其是谷物和肉類的價(jià)格——仍然高度波動(dòng)。

在上周五發(fā)布的最新食品價(jià)格指數(shù)中,聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織宣布,全球食品價(jià)格在上月大幅上漲后,4月份有所下降,但史密賀伯強(qiáng)調(diào),這只是小幅下降而已。

聯(lián)合國(guó)在4月份表示,全世界有4500萬(wàn)人營(yíng)養(yǎng)不良,還有多達(dá)2000萬(wàn)人因戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)而面臨饑荒的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。據(jù)世界銀行稱,世界高度脆弱地區(qū)包括薩赫勒地區(qū)和西非國(guó)家,這些地區(qū)如果爆發(fā)戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)的話,將加劇饑餓問(wèn)題。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:中慧言-王芳

在俄烏沖突爆發(fā)并停止糧食出口之前,烏克蘭是世界上最大的糧食出口國(guó)之一,其收獲的小麥占世界總量的11%,玉米占17%。幾十年來(lái),它一直被稱為歐洲糧倉(cāng)。

盡管俄羅斯軍隊(duì)封鎖了烏克蘭的港口,但該國(guó)的收成仍在繼續(xù)增加,大多數(shù)糧食都無(wú)法從烏克蘭運(yùn)出。據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織稱,現(xiàn)在,數(shù)百萬(wàn)噸糧食滯留烏克蘭,該國(guó)的儲(chǔ)存能力已達(dá)到極限,但世界其他國(guó)家卻面臨饑餓威脅。

聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家約瑟夫·史密賀伯(Josef Schmidhuber)表示,由于海港封鎖和基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施問(wèn)題,目前有近2500萬(wàn)噸糧食滯留烏克蘭,無(wú)法運(yùn)出。

在上周五的新聞發(fā)布會(huì)上,他警告說(shuō)烏克蘭的“情況近乎怪誕”,谷物正按照常規(guī)時(shí)間表收割,但無(wú)法運(yùn)出該國(guó)。

史密賀伯表示:“[有]近2500萬(wàn)噸糧食可以出口,但由于基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施問(wèn)題和港口封鎖,這些糧食無(wú)法運(yùn)出?!?/p>

他澄清說(shuō),到目前為止,俄烏沖突并未對(duì)收成產(chǎn)生重大影響,但全球市場(chǎng)越來(lái)越難以獲得烏克蘭的糧食類大宗商品。

史密賀伯解釋說(shuō),烏克蘭的大部分冬季作物都在該國(guó)西部種植和收獲,遠(yuǎn)離俄烏沖突的沖擊,因此,俄烏沖突并未影響近期的收成。他補(bǔ)充說(shuō),按計(jì)劃,已經(jīng)種植了約一半的夏季作物,但不確定能收獲多少。

史密賀伯說(shuō):“未來(lái)可能會(huì)出現(xiàn)可觀的收成。”但他補(bǔ)充說(shuō),糧食運(yùn)出烏克蘭的前景仍不確定,尤其是如果黑海港口仍被俄羅斯軍隊(duì)封鎖的話。

數(shù)月來(lái),烏克蘭船只一直被阻止離開黑海港口,聯(lián)合國(guó)世界糧食計(jì)劃署駐德國(guó)辦事處主任本周早些時(shí)候宣布,目前有近450萬(wàn)噸糧食儲(chǔ)存在烏克蘭港口的集裝箱中,由于海上航線不安全或被占領(lǐng)而無(wú)法運(yùn)出。

據(jù)史密賀伯稱,烏克蘭的糧食運(yùn)輸通常通過(guò)海運(yùn)完成,但現(xiàn)在越來(lái)越頻繁地通過(guò)鐵路運(yùn)出,他說(shuō)這可能是極其復(fù)雜的。由于鐵路規(guī)格不同,例如一條軌道上的鐵軌之間寬度不同,通過(guò)火車運(yùn)出糧食,有時(shí)需要卸載糧食并將糧食搬到新車廂上。

據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織稱,烏克蘭和俄羅斯是世界上一些主要農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的最大供應(yīng)國(guó),包括小麥、油菜籽、玉米和葵花籽油。這些關(guān)鍵的全球供應(yīng)鏈的中斷使得食品價(jià)格上漲,加劇了世界上一些最脆弱地區(qū)的饑餓問(wèn)題。

據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織稱,還有一些報(bào)道稱俄羅斯軍隊(duì)一直在搶劫烏克蘭的糧食倉(cāng)庫(kù)。

史密賀伯表示:"有傳聞?wù)f,俄羅斯軍隊(duì)毀壞了倉(cāng)庫(kù),正在搶奪現(xiàn)有儲(chǔ)備糧。"他補(bǔ)充說(shuō),還有跡象表明俄羅斯軍隊(duì)也在偷竊農(nóng)用設(shè)備,這可能會(huì)危及未來(lái)收成。

他說(shuō):“糧食被俄羅斯偷走,并通過(guò)卡車運(yùn)往俄羅斯?!?/p>

俄烏沖突走向的不確定性,烏克蘭有限的糧食儲(chǔ)存能力以及俄羅斯軍隊(duì)一直在偷竊農(nóng)用設(shè)備和破壞收成,意味著全球糧食價(jià)格——根據(jù)聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織最新的月度食品價(jià)格指數(shù),尤其是谷物和肉類的價(jià)格——仍然高度波動(dòng)。

在上周五發(fā)布的最新食品價(jià)格指數(shù)中,聯(lián)合國(guó)糧食及農(nóng)業(yè)組織宣布,全球食品價(jià)格在上月大幅上漲后,4月份有所下降,但史密賀伯強(qiáng)調(diào),這只是小幅下降而已。

聯(lián)合國(guó)在4月份表示,全世界有4500萬(wàn)人營(yíng)養(yǎng)不良,還有多達(dá)2000萬(wàn)人因戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)而面臨饑荒的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。據(jù)世界銀行稱,世界高度脆弱地區(qū)包括薩赫勒地區(qū)和西非國(guó)家,這些地區(qū)如果爆發(fā)戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)的話,將加劇饑餓問(wèn)題。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:中慧言-王芳

Ukraine was one of the world’s largest exporters of grain before the Russian army invaded and halted grain exports, harvesting 11% of the world’s wheat and 17% of its corn. For decades, it’s been referred to as the breadbasket of Europe.

In spite of Russian troops blockading Ukraine’s ports, the country’s harvest has continued, but most crops have been unable to leave Ukraine. Now, millions of tons of grain are sitting idle, and the country’s storage capacity is reaching its limits while the world gets hungrier, according to the UN’s top food agency.

Nearly 25 million tons of grain are currently stuck in Ukraine and unable to leave the country due to obstructed seaports and infrastructural issues, said Josef Schmidhuber, an economist with the Food and Agriculture Organization.

Speaking at a press briefing on Friday, he warned of an “almost grotesque situation” in Ukraine, in which grain is being harvested according to regular schedules, but cannot be taken out of the country.

"[There are] nearly 25 million tonnes of grain that could be exported but that cannot leave the country simply because of lack of infrastructure, the blockade of the ports,” Schmidhuber said.

He clarified that the war has so far not had a significant impact on harvests, but it is becoming harder and harder for global markets to access Ukraine’s food commodities.

Schmidhuber explained that most of Ukraine’s winter crops were planted and harvested in the west of the country, far away from the brunt of the fighting and the war did not impact the recent harvest. He added that around half of the planned summer crops are already in the ground, although it is uncertain how much of it will be reaped.

“A considerable crop could be coming in going forward,” Schmidhuber said, but added that the outlook for grains leaving Ukraine remained uncertain, especially if Black Sea ports remained blocked by Russian forces.

Ukrainian ships have been blocked from leaving Black Sea ports for months, and the director of the UN World Food Programme in Germany announced earlier this week that almost 4.5 million tons of grain are currently sitting in containers in Ukrainian ports, unable to leave because of unsafe or occupied sea routes.

Grain shipments from Ukraine are usually done by sea, according to Schmidhuber, but are now being taken out of the country by rail more and more frequently, something he said can be exceedingly more complicated. Grains leaving Ukraine by train can sometimes need to be unloaded and placed on new carriages due to different railway specifications, such as different widths between rails on a single track.

Ukraine and Russia combined are some of the world’s largest suppliers of key agricultural commodities, including wheat, rapeseed, maize, and sunflower oil, according to the FAO. The disruption of these crucial global supply chains has raised food prices and exacerbated hunger issues in some of the world’s most vulnerable regions.

There are also some reports that Russian troops have been looting Ukrainian grain storages, according to the FAO.

“There is anecdotal evidence that Russian troops have destroyed storage capacity and are looting storage grain that is available,” Schmidhuber said, adding that there are also signs Russian troops have been stealing farm equipment as well, potentially putting the productivity of future harvests at risk.

“Grain is being stolen by Russia and transported by trucks into Russia,” he said.

The uncertainty about what direction the war will take, Ukraine’s limited storage capacity for grain, and evidence that Russian troops have been stealing and damaging harvests and farming equipment, means that global food prices—especially those for cereals and meats, according to the FAO’s latest monthly food price index—are still highly volatile.

In its latest food price index, released on Friday, the FAO announced that global food prices decreased in April after a huge jump last month, but Schmidhuber stressed that it was only a small decline.

The UN said in April that 45 million people worldwide suffer from malnourishment, with up to 20 million more at risk of famine because of the war. Highly vulnerable regions of the world where the war is expected to amplify hunger include countries in the Sahel and West Africa, according to the World Bank.

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