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2022年值得關(guān)注的10宗IPO

Jessica Mathews
2022-02-07

TikTok母公司字節(jié)跳動(dòng)的估值在3600億美元左右。

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2021年,IPO大行其道。

安永(EY)的年度全球IPO報(bào)告顯示,2021年的IPO共2388宗,籌資逾4530億美元,IPO的數(shù)量較2020年增長(zhǎng)64%。2021年,僅在美國(guó)就有多達(dá)416家公司上市。

隨后情況急轉(zhuǎn)而下:半數(shù)新上市公司股票跌破發(fā)行價(jià)。納斯達(dá)克指數(shù)(Nasdaq)自年初以來(lái)下跌了12.49%。利率開(kāi)始回升,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)也計(jì)劃今年加息數(shù)次,初創(chuàng)企業(yè)的融資成本升高。特別是,美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)列出了一些對(duì)于特殊目的收購(gòu)公司(SPAC)的重大顧慮。

所有這些市場(chǎng)信號(hào)都有可能會(huì)阻礙企業(yè)的上市計(jì)劃。

私人市場(chǎng)證券交易平臺(tái)Rainmaker Securities的創(chuàng)始人格雷格·馬丁說(shuō):“如果利率繼續(xù)上升,我們預(yù)計(jì)上市勢(shì)頭肯定就會(huì)放緩。這些公司的估值以五年、六年或七年的現(xiàn)金流為依據(jù),所以對(duì)利率變化非常敏感?!?/p>

當(dāng)然,企業(yè)的上市腳步不會(huì)停止,如果經(jīng)??幢拘侣労?jiǎn)報(bào)的話,就能夠發(fā)現(xiàn)有些企業(yè)已經(jīng)在提交上市申請(qǐng)。今年直接上市的情況可能會(huì)增多,因?yàn)楦嗟钠髽I(yè)會(huì)對(duì)定價(jià)流程提出異議,爭(zhēng)相讓市場(chǎng)自行決定。綜上所述,選擇在今年上市的公司可能需要對(duì)馬丁所說(shuō)的“估值折扣”做好準(zhǔn)備。馬丁補(bǔ)充稱,投資者可能也會(huì)更加重視財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)。

我和馬丁及Rainmaker Securities的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人格倫·安德森討論了他們和投資者在今年最期待的IPO交易。他們稱,以下五家公司值得關(guān)注:

Reddit:這是一頭“房間里的大象”(譯者注:英國(guó)諺語(yǔ),意指那些觸目驚心地存在卻被一直被忽略的事實(shí)),有人已經(jīng)關(guān)注了許多年。該社交媒體平臺(tái)在2021年12月中旬(秘密)提交了上市申請(qǐng),預(yù)計(jì)將于今年第一季度上市。Reddit估值100億美元,累計(jì)融資金額超13億美元,而且該公司一直在大舉招聘人才,近期剛剛?cè)蚊藥酌碌母邔宇I(lǐng)導(dǎo)。馬丁稱:“當(dāng)然,該公司有可能成為旗下自有平臺(tái)上的一只模因(MEME)股票。”

Stripe:總部位于舊金山,2021年3月,這家支付處理平臺(tái)以高達(dá)1520億美元的估值成為全球估值第二高公司。當(dāng)然,估值不代表一切:該公司融資金額為22億美元,僅比Reddit高出不到一倍,甚至不及這個(gè)名單上一些估值較低的同行。這也說(shuō)明一家公司如果認(rèn)為不需要通過(guò)公開(kāi)市場(chǎng)融資,非上市狀態(tài)就可以維持很久。該公司在新冠疫情期間表現(xiàn)良好,與幾十萬(wàn)家公司簽訂了服務(wù)使用協(xié)議。

字節(jié)跳動(dòng):說(shuō)到估值最高的公司,也就是TikTok母公司字節(jié)跳動(dòng),估值在3600億美元左右(根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),該公司融資金額約145億美元)。2021年由于海外上市政策收緊,字節(jié)跳動(dòng)擱置了上市計(jì)劃,公司創(chuàng)始人張一鳴宣布辭去首席執(zhí)行官職務(wù)。馬丁表示:“字節(jié)跳動(dòng)的IPO顯然極不成功?!?022年,字節(jié)跳動(dòng)是否會(huì)再次嘗試上市?

Klarna:備受關(guān)注的Klarna是一家總部設(shè)在斯德哥爾摩的先買(mǎi)后付行業(yè)巨頭,估值456億美元,累計(jì)融資39億美元。該公司一直在擴(kuò)大美國(guó)業(yè)務(wù),除了計(jì)劃不久后在美國(guó)推出信用卡,最近還在幾個(gè)市場(chǎng)中上線了瀏覽器拓展程序。該公司的首席執(zhí)行官在2021年曾經(jīng)表示,市場(chǎng)波動(dòng)對(duì)IPO而言可能是個(gè)問(wèn)題,可能還要關(guān)注美國(guó)消費(fèi)者金融保護(hù)局(Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)對(duì)先買(mǎi)后付行業(yè)發(fā)起的調(diào)查。

Revolut:總部設(shè)在倫敦的Revolut,從事外匯和銀行業(yè)務(wù),是歐洲融資狀況最好的初創(chuàng)公司之一,已經(jīng)在對(duì)美國(guó)業(yè)務(wù)實(shí)施規(guī)模化發(fā)展,但也面臨著一些挑戰(zhàn)。該公司估值330億美元,已經(jīng)融資近19億美元。

我還在關(guān)注以下正在上市途中的公司:

StubHub:StubHub是一家總部位于舊金山的票務(wù)平臺(tái),現(xiàn)在對(duì)于活動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)而言可能并不是好時(shí)候,但這未能阻止其母公司StubHub Holdings去研究各種應(yīng)對(duì)方案。知情人士向彭博社(Bloomberg)透露,該公司已經(jīng)向美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)提交機(jī)密文件,正在考慮直接上市。Viagogo于2021年年底完成了對(duì)StubHub的收購(gòu),根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),合并實(shí)體的估值約為40億美元。

蘇富比(Sotheby’s):據(jù)彭博社報(bào)道,今年1月早些時(shí)候,這家總部設(shè)在紐約的拍賣(mài)行據(jù)傳挑選了幾位投資銀行家來(lái)負(fù)責(zé)今年有可能進(jìn)行的IPO。蘇富比2021年的銷(xiāo)售額創(chuàng)下紀(jì)錄,在數(shù)字資產(chǎn)拍賣(mài)領(lǐng)域更是聲名鵲起。根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),該公司的估值為37億美元左右。蘇富比拍賣(mài)行2019年被億萬(wàn)富豪帕特里克·德拉希所收購(gòu),重歸私有化。

Oyo Hotels:印度最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)型酒店預(yù)訂公司Oyo Hotels,估值96億美元(累計(jì)融資金額約30億美元),是印度估值最高的初創(chuàng)公司之一,已經(jīng)開(kāi)啟了在孟買(mǎi)證交所(Bombay Stock Exchange)上市的IPO流程。該公司一直在調(diào)整業(yè)務(wù)模式,現(xiàn)提供與酒店業(yè)合作伙伴的收入分成安排。

太盟投資集團(tuán)(PAG):私募股權(quán)公司TPG在美國(guó)公開(kāi)上市之后,緊接著,總部設(shè)在中國(guó)香港的太盟投資集團(tuán)正計(jì)劃在香港上市。據(jù)彭博社報(bào)道,該公司的資產(chǎn)管理規(guī)模約為450億美元,有可能通過(guò)IPO籌得約20億美元資金。

Turo:總部設(shè)在舊金山的租車(chē)平臺(tái)Turo,估值12億美元,累計(jì)融資4.96億美元,已經(jīng)于今年1月早些時(shí)候提交了上市申請(qǐng)。該公司在新冠疫情期間遭遇重大挫敗,尤其是在德國(guó)。

無(wú)論企業(yè)選擇上市,還是暫時(shí)擱置計(jì)劃,眼下的私募市場(chǎng)中不缺資金。

加油,歐洲,加油!歐洲的風(fēng)投活動(dòng)正在爆炸式增長(zhǎng),該地區(qū)的風(fēng)投活動(dòng)還從未像2021年一樣活躍過(guò)。有趣的是,根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),涉及非傳統(tǒng)來(lái)源(例如投資銀行、對(duì)沖基金、養(yǎng)老基金、主權(quán)財(cái)富基金和企業(yè)風(fēng)投部門(mén))的融資額高達(dá)884億美元以上。請(qǐng)關(guān)注這個(gè)領(lǐng)域。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:馮豐

審校:夏林

2021年,IPO大行其道。

安永(EY)的年度全球IPO報(bào)告顯示,2021年的IPO共2388宗,籌資逾4530億美元,IPO的數(shù)量較2020年增長(zhǎng)64%。2021年,僅在美國(guó)就有多達(dá)416家公司上市。

隨后情況急轉(zhuǎn)而下:半數(shù)新上市公司股票跌破發(fā)行價(jià)。納斯達(dá)克指數(shù)(Nasdaq)自年初以來(lái)下跌了12.49%。利率開(kāi)始回升,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)也計(jì)劃今年加息數(shù)次,初創(chuàng)企業(yè)的融資成本升高。特別是,美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)(SEC)列出了一些對(duì)于特殊目的收購(gòu)公司(SPAC)的重大顧慮。

所有這些市場(chǎng)信號(hào)都有可能會(huì)阻礙企業(yè)的上市計(jì)劃。

私人市場(chǎng)證券交易平臺(tái)Rainmaker Securities的創(chuàng)始人格雷格·馬丁說(shuō):“如果利率繼續(xù)上升,我們預(yù)計(jì)上市勢(shì)頭肯定就會(huì)放緩。這些公司的估值以五年、六年或七年的現(xiàn)金流為依據(jù),所以對(duì)利率變化非常敏感。”

當(dāng)然,企業(yè)的上市腳步不會(huì)停止,如果經(jīng)??幢拘侣労?jiǎn)報(bào)的話,就能夠發(fā)現(xiàn)有些企業(yè)已經(jīng)在提交上市申請(qǐng)。今年直接上市的情況可能會(huì)增多,因?yàn)楦嗟钠髽I(yè)會(huì)對(duì)定價(jià)流程提出異議,爭(zhēng)相讓市場(chǎng)自行決定。綜上所述,選擇在今年上市的公司可能需要對(duì)馬丁所說(shuō)的“估值折扣”做好準(zhǔn)備。馬丁補(bǔ)充稱,投資者可能也會(huì)更加重視財(cái)務(wù)指標(biāo)。

我和馬丁及Rainmaker Securities的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人格倫·安德森討論了他們和投資者在今年最期待的IPO交易。他們稱,以下五家公司值得關(guān)注:

Reddit:這是一頭“房間里的大象”(譯者注:英國(guó)諺語(yǔ),意指那些觸目驚心地存在卻被一直被忽略的事實(shí)),有人已經(jīng)關(guān)注了許多年。該社交媒體平臺(tái)在2021年12月中旬(秘密)提交了上市申請(qǐng),預(yù)計(jì)將于今年第一季度上市。Reddit估值100億美元,累計(jì)融資金額超13億美元,而且該公司一直在大舉招聘人才,近期剛剛?cè)蚊藥酌碌母邔宇I(lǐng)導(dǎo)。馬丁稱:“當(dāng)然,該公司有可能成為旗下自有平臺(tái)上的一只模因(MEME)股票?!?/p>

Stripe:總部位于舊金山,2021年3月,這家支付處理平臺(tái)以高達(dá)1520億美元的估值成為全球估值第二高公司。當(dāng)然,估值不代表一切:該公司融資金額為22億美元,僅比Reddit高出不到一倍,甚至不及這個(gè)名單上一些估值較低的同行。這也說(shuō)明一家公司如果認(rèn)為不需要通過(guò)公開(kāi)市場(chǎng)融資,非上市狀態(tài)就可以維持很久。該公司在新冠疫情期間表現(xiàn)良好,與幾十萬(wàn)家公司簽訂了服務(wù)使用協(xié)議。

字節(jié)跳動(dòng):說(shuō)到估值最高的公司,也就是TikTok母公司字節(jié)跳動(dòng),估值在3600億美元左右(根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),該公司融資金額約145億美元)。2021年由于海外上市政策收緊,字節(jié)跳動(dòng)擱置了上市計(jì)劃,公司創(chuàng)始人張一鳴宣布辭去首席執(zhí)行官職務(wù)。馬丁表示:“字節(jié)跳動(dòng)的IPO顯然極不成功?!?022年,字節(jié)跳動(dòng)是否會(huì)再次嘗試上市?

Klarna:備受關(guān)注的Klarna是一家總部設(shè)在斯德哥爾摩的先買(mǎi)后付行業(yè)巨頭,估值456億美元,累計(jì)融資39億美元。該公司一直在擴(kuò)大美國(guó)業(yè)務(wù),除了計(jì)劃不久后在美國(guó)推出信用卡,最近還在幾個(gè)市場(chǎng)中上線了瀏覽器拓展程序。該公司的首席執(zhí)行官在2021年曾經(jīng)表示,市場(chǎng)波動(dòng)對(duì)IPO而言可能是個(gè)問(wèn)題,可能還要關(guān)注美國(guó)消費(fèi)者金融保護(hù)局(Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)對(duì)先買(mǎi)后付行業(yè)發(fā)起的調(diào)查。

Revolut:總部設(shè)在倫敦的Revolut,從事外匯和銀行業(yè)務(wù),是歐洲融資狀況最好的初創(chuàng)公司之一,已經(jīng)在對(duì)美國(guó)業(yè)務(wù)實(shí)施規(guī)?;l(fā)展,但也面臨著一些挑戰(zhàn)。該公司估值330億美元,已經(jīng)融資近19億美元。

我還在關(guān)注以下正在上市途中的公司:

StubHub:StubHub是一家總部位于舊金山的票務(wù)平臺(tái),現(xiàn)在對(duì)于活動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)而言可能并不是好時(shí)候,但這未能阻止其母公司StubHub Holdings去研究各種應(yīng)對(duì)方案。知情人士向彭博社(Bloomberg)透露,該公司已經(jīng)向美國(guó)證券交易委員會(huì)提交機(jī)密文件,正在考慮直接上市。Viagogo于2021年年底完成了對(duì)StubHub的收購(gòu),根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),合并實(shí)體的估值約為40億美元。

蘇富比(Sotheby’s):據(jù)彭博社報(bào)道,今年1月早些時(shí)候,這家總部設(shè)在紐約的拍賣(mài)行據(jù)傳挑選了幾位投資銀行家來(lái)負(fù)責(zé)今年有可能進(jìn)行的IPO。蘇富比2021年的銷(xiāo)售額創(chuàng)下紀(jì)錄,在數(shù)字資產(chǎn)拍賣(mài)領(lǐng)域更是聲名鵲起。根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),該公司的估值為37億美元左右。蘇富比拍賣(mài)行2019年被億萬(wàn)富豪帕特里克·德拉希所收購(gòu),重歸私有化。

Oyo Hotels:印度最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)型酒店預(yù)訂公司Oyo Hotels,估值96億美元(累計(jì)融資金額約30億美元),是印度估值最高的初創(chuàng)公司之一,已經(jīng)開(kāi)啟了在孟買(mǎi)證交所(Bombay Stock Exchange)上市的IPO流程。該公司一直在調(diào)整業(yè)務(wù)模式,現(xiàn)提供與酒店業(yè)合作伙伴的收入分成安排。

太盟投資集團(tuán)(PAG):私募股權(quán)公司TPG在美國(guó)公開(kāi)上市之后,緊接著,總部設(shè)在中國(guó)香港的太盟投資集團(tuán)正計(jì)劃在香港上市。據(jù)彭博社報(bào)道,該公司的資產(chǎn)管理規(guī)模約為450億美元,有可能通過(guò)IPO籌得約20億美元資金。

Turo:總部設(shè)在舊金山的租車(chē)平臺(tái)Turo,估值12億美元,累計(jì)融資4.96億美元,已經(jīng)于今年1月早些時(shí)候提交了上市申請(qǐng)。該公司在新冠疫情期間遭遇重大挫敗,尤其是在德國(guó)。

無(wú)論企業(yè)選擇上市,還是暫時(shí)擱置計(jì)劃,眼下的私募市場(chǎng)中不缺資金。

加油,歐洲,加油!歐洲的風(fēng)投活動(dòng)正在爆炸式增長(zhǎng),該地區(qū)的風(fēng)投活動(dòng)還從未像2021年一樣活躍過(guò)。有趣的是,根據(jù)PitchBook的數(shù)據(jù),涉及非傳統(tǒng)來(lái)源(例如投資銀行、對(duì)沖基金、養(yǎng)老基金、主權(quán)財(cái)富基金和企業(yè)風(fēng)投部門(mén))的融資額高達(dá)884億美元以上。請(qǐng)關(guān)注這個(gè)領(lǐng)域。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:馮豐

審校:夏林

IPOs experienced quite the pop in 2021.

There were 2,388 deals last year—a 64% increase from 2020—raising more than $453 billion in assets, according to EY’s annual global IPO report. There were a whopping 416 listings in the U.S. alone.

And then things went south: Half of newly public companies began trading below their debut price tag. The Nasdaq is down 12.49% since the beginning of this year. Interest rates are ticking back up, and the Fed is making plans to lift its federal funds rate several times this year, which will ultimately make borrowing money more expensive for startups. The SEC has laid out some major concerns it has with SPACs, in particular.

All of these market signals could put a crimp on a company’s plans to go public.

“We're expecting a slowdown—certainly if interest rates continue to tick up,” says Greg Martin, founder of Rainmaker Securities, a private securities transactions brokerage. “These companies are so sensitive to interest rates, because they're being valued on five, six, seven years of cash flow.”

Of course, companies will still go public—and if you read this newsletter regularly, you know they’re already filing doing so. We may even see more direct listings this year, as more companies take issue with the pricing process and vie to let the markets decide for themselves. All that being said, companies that opt to list this year may need to prepare for a “valuation haircut,” as Martin calls it. He added that investors may put more of a premium on financial metrics as well.

I spoke with Martin and Glen Anderson, co-founder of Rainmaker Securities, about the IPOs they and investors are most anticipating that could happen this year. Here are five companies they say to watch:

Reddit: This is the elephant in the room, and one people have had an eye on for, well, years. The social media platform filed (confidentially) to go public in mid-December, and is expected to go public in the first quarter. It’s raised more than $1.3 billion in funding at a $10 billion valuation, and has been on a hiring spree, announcing just yesterday a handful of new senior leaders. “And, of course, they could be a meme stock on their own platform,” Martin says.

Stripe: Last March, the San Francisco-based payments processing platform became the second-highest valued company in the world. It’s now valued at a whopping $152 billion (Of course, valuations aren’t everything: It has raised $2.2 billion, which is only about double that of Reddit’s funding, and less than some of the lower-valued peers on this list). This is testament to how long a company can stay private without feeling the need to look to the public for funding. It’s done well through the pandemic, signing on a couple hundred thousand companies to use its services.

ByteDance: Speaking of most valuable companies: ByteDance, which owns TikTok and is valued somewhere in the range of $360 billion (It has raised around $14.5 billion, per PitchBook). ByteDance shelved plans to go public last year amid China’s regulatory crackdown on the tech sector, and its CEO announced his resignation last year. “Obviously BD’s IPO was very unsuccessful, and people saw what could happen if the Chinese government decides to put a crimp in your business,” Martin says. Will 2022 deliver a second attempt?

Klarna: All eyes are on the Stockholm-based buy now, pay later giant, which has raised $3.9 billion at a valuation of $45.6 billion. It’s been growing its business in the U.S., planning to launch a credit card there soon, and recently added a browser extension to several of its markets. The company's CEO said last year that market volatility might be an issue for an IPO, and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s inquiry into the BNPL sector may be something to look out for.

Revolut: Based in London, the foreign exchange and banking company is one of Europe’s most well-funded startups, and it’s been scaling its business in the U.S., not without some challenges. It has raised nearly $1.9 billion and is valued at an estimated $33 billion.

Just for fun, here are a few more companies I am watching that are en route to the public markets:

StubHub: It might not be a great time for the events industry, but it hasn’t stopped StubHub Holdings, the parent company of StubHub, a San Francisco-based ticketing platform, from looking into its options. The company has already filed confidential paperwork with the SEC and it’s considering a direct listing, people familiar with the matter told Bloomberg. Viagogo completed its acquisition of StubHub at the end of last year, and the combined entity is valued at an estimated $4 billion, per Pitchbook.

Sotheby’s: Earlier January, the New York-based auction house reportedly selected investment bankers for an IPO that could happen this year, per Bloomberg. Sotheby’s reported a record year of sales in 2021, and has garnered a name for itself for its activity in the digital assets world. The company is valued at around $3.7 billion, per Pitchbook, and it’s owned by billionaire Patrick Drahi, who took the company private in 2019.

Oyo Hotels: Indian budget hotel booking company Oyo Hotels, and one of the highest-valued startups in the country at $9.6 billion (it’s raised around $3 billion), started out the IPO process to list on the Bombay Stock Exchange. The company has been adjusting its business model, now offering?revenue-sharing arrangements with its hotel partners.

PAG: On the heels of private equity firm TPG’s public listing in the U.S., Hong Kong-based PAG is planning to go public in the region. The firm has around $45 billion in AUM, and it could raise around $2 billion in an IPO, per Bloomberg.

Turo: A car rental marketplace based in San Francisco, filed to go public earlier January (It has raised a total $496 million at an approximate $1.2 billion valuation). The company has experienced some major setbacks during the pandemic, particularly in Germany.

Whether companies opt to go public, or shelf plans for a while, there’s no shortage of funding in the private markets right now.

Go, Europe, go! We’ve never seen venture capital activity in Europe like we did in 2021. This region is exploding. What’s interesting is that more than $88.4 billion of funding involved non-traditional sources (think investment banks, hedge funds, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and corporate venture capital arms), according to Pitchbook. Watch this space.

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