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房貸延期計(jì)劃的最大受益者,是高收入家庭

Megan Leonhardt
2021-08-04

相比年收入低于6萬(wàn)美元的家庭,高收入家庭實(shí)際上受益更多。

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去年夏天,“房貸延期支付計(jì)劃”(Mortgage forbearance program)實(shí)施時(shí),最高有超400萬(wàn)美國(guó)人申請(qǐng)延期償還房貸。目前,參與該緊急援助項(xiàng)目的房主仍有約174萬(wàn)人。

該計(jì)劃屬于《關(guān)懷法案》,是美國(guó)聯(lián)邦政府推出的延期償付規(guī)定,且主要面對(duì)因新冠危機(jī)遭遇困難的借款人,只要是從政府支持的房貸機(jī)構(gòu)貸款,就可享受延期還貸,最長(zhǎng)可延期360天。除了幫助房利美和房地美等聯(lián)邦機(jī)構(gòu)的借款人,美國(guó)也鼓勵(lì)其他貸款機(jī)構(gòu)為房主提供避免違約的解決方案。

但如今回望,類似項(xiàng)目最大的受益者是誰(shuí)?紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家分析了2020年8月《消費(fèi)者預(yù)期調(diào)查》的數(shù)據(jù)發(fā)現(xiàn),相比年收入低于6萬(wàn)美元的家庭,高收入家庭實(shí)際上受益更多。

誰(shuí)從房貸延期支付計(jì)劃當(dāng)中得利。紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家對(duì)疫情期間獲得房貸延期或還款減免的家庭進(jìn)行了研究。資料來(lái)源: 紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行自有經(jīng)濟(jì)博客

當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家詢問(wèn)借款人,疫情期間是否獲得過(guò)房貸延期或還款減免時(shí),約5.5%的受訪家庭給出了肯定答案。如果按收入細(xì)分,在年收入超過(guò)6萬(wàn)美元的高收入受訪家庭中,約有5.8%表示獲得了房貸寬限,而收入低于6萬(wàn)美元的家庭中僅有2%。

這一趨勢(shì)與租金、信用卡和汽車貸款援助項(xiàng)目不同,因?yàn)檫@些項(xiàng)目中低收入的美國(guó)人獲得幫助的可能性更大。

不過(guò),雖然高收入家庭從房貸延期支付計(jì)劃中獲益更多,租金、信用卡和汽車貸款計(jì)劃更加普遍。調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)顯示,約9.8%的租房者、11%的信用卡用戶和13.6%的汽車貸款借款人獲得了某種形式的還款減免。

研究人員發(fā)現(xiàn),從類似救助項(xiàng)目中獲益最多的通常是經(jīng)歷了失業(yè)或收入下降的家庭,與大多數(shù)項(xiàng)目的目標(biāo)一致。

當(dāng)然,隨著救濟(jì)項(xiàng)目結(jié)束,仍在依靠救濟(jì)項(xiàng)目的美國(guó)人要如何度過(guò)難關(guān)還有待觀察。比如,暫停驅(qū)逐令于2021年7月31日到期后,目前估計(jì)有1100萬(wàn)租房者有可能被迫搬離。

與此同時(shí),很多房主要面臨的現(xiàn)實(shí)是,多項(xiàng)聯(lián)邦房貸延期支付計(jì)劃將在今秋結(jié)束。6月美國(guó)消費(fèi)者金融保護(hù)局為陷入困境的房主敲定了新保護(hù)措施,但拒絕全面禁止房屋止贖。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:梁宇

審校:夏林

去年夏天,“房貸延期支付計(jì)劃”(Mortgage forbearance program)實(shí)施時(shí),最高有超400萬(wàn)美國(guó)人申請(qǐng)延期償還房貸。目前,參與該緊急援助項(xiàng)目的房主仍有約174萬(wàn)人。

該計(jì)劃屬于《關(guān)懷法案》,是美國(guó)聯(lián)邦政府推出的延期償付規(guī)定,且主要面對(duì)因新冠危機(jī)遭遇困難的借款人,只要是從政府支持的房貸機(jī)構(gòu)貸款,就可享受延期還貸,最長(zhǎng)可延期360天。除了幫助房利美和房地美等聯(lián)邦機(jī)構(gòu)的借款人,美國(guó)也鼓勵(lì)其他貸款機(jī)構(gòu)為房主提供避免違約的解決方案。

但如今回望,類似項(xiàng)目最大的受益者是誰(shuí)?紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家分析了2020年8月《消費(fèi)者預(yù)期調(diào)查》的數(shù)據(jù)發(fā)現(xiàn),相比年收入低于6萬(wàn)美元的家庭,高收入家庭實(shí)際上受益更多。

誰(shuí)從房貸延期支付計(jì)劃當(dāng)中得利。紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家對(duì)疫情期間獲得房貸延期或還款減免的家庭進(jìn)行了研究。資料來(lái)源: 紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行自有經(jīng)濟(jì)博客

當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家詢問(wèn)借款人,疫情期間是否獲得過(guò)房貸延期或還款減免時(shí),約5.5%的受訪家庭給出了肯定答案。如果按收入細(xì)分,在年收入超過(guò)6萬(wàn)美元的高收入受訪家庭中,約有5.8%表示獲得了房貸寬限,而收入低于6萬(wàn)美元的家庭中僅有2%。

這一趨勢(shì)與租金、信用卡和汽車貸款援助項(xiàng)目不同,因?yàn)檫@些項(xiàng)目中低收入的美國(guó)人獲得幫助的可能性更大。

不過(guò),雖然高收入家庭從房貸延期支付計(jì)劃中獲益更多,租金、信用卡和汽車貸款計(jì)劃更加普遍。調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)顯示,約9.8%的租房者、11%的信用卡用戶和13.6%的汽車貸款借款人獲得了某種形式的還款減免。

研究人員發(fā)現(xiàn),從類似救助項(xiàng)目中獲益最多的通常是經(jīng)歷了失業(yè)或收入下降的家庭,與大多數(shù)項(xiàng)目的目標(biāo)一致。

當(dāng)然,隨著救濟(jì)項(xiàng)目結(jié)束,仍在依靠救濟(jì)項(xiàng)目的美國(guó)人要如何度過(guò)難關(guān)還有待觀察。比如,暫停驅(qū)逐令于2021年7月31日到期后,目前估計(jì)有1100萬(wàn)租房者有可能被迫搬離。

與此同時(shí),很多房主要面臨的現(xiàn)實(shí)是,多項(xiàng)聯(lián)邦房貸延期支付計(jì)劃將在今秋結(jié)束。6月美國(guó)消費(fèi)者金融保護(hù)局為陷入困境的房主敲定了新保護(hù)措施,但拒絕全面禁止房屋止贖。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:梁宇

審校:夏林

There are only about 1.74 million homeowners left in mortgage forbearance plans these days, down from the highs of over 4 million Americans in these emergency relief programs last summer.

As part of the CARES Act, the U.S. established a foreclosure moratorium and made borrowers with federally backed mortgages who experienced COVID-19-related hardships eligible for forbearance programs that would defer their monthly mortgage payments for up to 360 days. In addition to helping borrowers who used federal agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the U.S. encouraged other lenders to offer homeowners ways to avoid defaulting.

But looking back, who received the most help from these programs? New York Fed economists analyzed data from the August 2020 Survey of Consumer Expectations and found that higher-income households actually benefited in greater numbers from these programs than households with incomes of less than $60,000.

Economists asked borrowers if they obtained any type of forbearance or payment relief on their mortgage during the pandemic. About 5.5% of households surveyed responded that they had. When broken down by income, about 5.8% of higher income respondents (earning over $60,000) reported receiving forbearance, compared to just 2% of households earning less than $60,000.

This is a different trend than seen in rental, credit card, and auto loan assistance programs, in which lower-income Americans were more likely to take advantage of relief measures.

Yet while more higher-income households took advantage of the mortgage forbearance programs, rental, credit card, and auto loan programs were more popular as a whole. About 9.8% of renters, 11% of credit card users, and 13.6% of auto loan borrowers received some type of payment relief, according to the survey data analyzed.

Researchers, however, found that it was generally households that experienced job loss or decreased income who took advantage of these programs the most—in line with what most of these programs aimed to accomplish.

Of course, it remains to be seen how Americans who are still in these relief programs will fare as these programs end. The eviction moratorium, for example, was allowed to expire on July 31, 2021, meaning an estimated 11 million renters are now at risk of losing their home.

Meanwhile, many of the federal mortgage forbearance programs are set to end this fall for many homeowners. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued a final rule in June that provided more protections for struggling homeowners but declined to outright ban foreclosures

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