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比特幣和以太坊暴跌,為什么利好Coinbase?

Anne Sraders
2021-05-20

與傳統(tǒng)的證券公司一樣,交易量增加意味著Coinbase的主要收入來(lái)源有著落了——哪怕以太坊和比特幣之流的價(jià)格暴跌也無(wú)妨。

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到目前為止,上市后的Coinbase一直表現(xiàn)不佳。

自今年4月中旬直接上市以來(lái),這家大型加密貨幣交易所的股價(jià)和它的首輪收盤(pán)價(jià)相比,已經(jīng)下跌了近32%——因?yàn)樗晨康拇笮图用茇泿牛òū忍貛牛┙鼇?lái)都在下跌。5月19日,加密貨幣的損失尤其慘重,比特幣(Bitcoin)、以太坊(Ethereum),甚至狗狗幣(Dogecoin)都出現(xiàn)了暴跌,在當(dāng)天的晚些時(shí)候,才又重新回升了一點(diǎn)。

5月19日收盤(pán)時(shí),Coinbase的股價(jià)下跌了約6%。在某種程度上,這家加密貨幣交易所的股價(jià)與加密貨幣的波動(dòng)性息息相關(guān),券商D.A. Davidson的分析師吉爾?盧里亞指出:“到目前為止,Coinbase的交易幾乎與比特幣保持著步調(diào)一致。”

盧里亞告訴《財(cái)富》雜志,對(duì)那些在本周眼睜睜看著Coinbase的股票一蹶不振的人來(lái)說(shuō),這一點(diǎn)可能會(huì)讓他們感到震驚,但價(jià)格下跌“可能恰恰讓人們忽略了重要的一點(diǎn),那就是,今天可能是Coinbase有史以來(lái)表現(xiàn)最好的一天?!?/p>

他說(shuō),這是因?yàn)椤安▌?dòng)性才是真正推動(dòng)Coinbase業(yè)績(jī)的因素——它關(guān)心的是人們買(mǎi)賣(mài)比特幣……而不是比特幣的漲跌。我認(rèn)為今天人們可能依舊忽略了這一點(diǎn),這就是為什么Coinbase還是繼續(xù)和比特幣的價(jià)格步調(diào)一致,而不是與之相反,與加密貨幣的波動(dòng)性步調(diào)一致,這對(duì)Coinbase的命運(yùn)更為重要。”

確實(shí),Coinbase的絕大部分收入來(lái)自交易費(fèi)。因此,與傳統(tǒng)的證券公司一樣,交易量增加是個(gè)好兆頭,意味著Coinbase的主要收入來(lái)源有著落了——哪怕以太坊和比特幣之流的價(jià)格暴跌也無(wú)妨。Coinbase最近報(bào)告稱,其在第一季度實(shí)現(xiàn)了“穩(wěn)健的”收益(基本上與它們的初始業(yè)績(jī)相當(dāng)),該公司還表示,預(yù)計(jì)第二季度的交易量將繼續(xù)保持良好,或是穩(wěn)中有進(jìn)。

盡管如此,困擾著Coinbase的問(wèn)題卻不止股價(jià)下跌這一點(diǎn)。5月19日,當(dāng)所有加密貨幣都經(jīng)歷著價(jià)格過(guò)山車(chē)時(shí),Coinbase(還有幣安等其他交易平臺(tái))在交易或登錄時(shí)又出現(xiàn)了問(wèn)題,Coinbase的技術(shù)支持部門(mén)也于當(dāng)天的早些時(shí)候在推特(Twitter)上回應(yīng)了這一點(diǎn)。后來(lái),該公司宣布已經(jīng)“妥善修復(fù)問(wèn)題”,并承諾客戶“在登錄Coinbase和Coinbase Pro時(shí)不會(huì)再出現(xiàn)問(wèn)題”。

我們已經(jīng)修復(fù)了這一問(wèn)題,正在觀察結(jié)果,但是,在登錄Coinbase和Coinbase Pro時(shí)不會(huì)再有問(wèn)題了。我們對(duì)由此帶來(lái)的一切不便深表歉意。感謝您今天給予我們的耐心配合。

——Coinbase技術(shù)支持(@CoinbaseSupport),2021年5月19日

盧里亞指出,從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,Coinbase的價(jià)值將與“加密貨幣產(chǎn)業(yè)的整體性成功有關(guān),而這又與加密貨幣的價(jià)格有關(guān)”。他說(shuō),投資者應(yīng)該記住,Coinbase的股價(jià)與加密貨幣資產(chǎn)本身都遵循同一條規(guī)律:即,這是“高度投機(jī)性的努力,投資者可以承受的最大損失是多少,就只能夠投到多少?!?/p>

但看漲的盧里亞稱,如果幣圈投資者看到更多像5月19日這樣大起大落的日子,“只要人們還對(duì)這些火爆的資產(chǎn)有興趣、并活躍地買(mǎi)賣(mài)著,Coinbase就會(huì)表現(xiàn)得非常好”。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

編譯:陳聰聰

到目前為止,上市后的Coinbase一直表現(xiàn)不佳。

自今年4月中旬直接上市以來(lái),這家大型加密貨幣交易所的股價(jià)和它的首輪收盤(pán)價(jià)相比,已經(jīng)下跌了近32%——因?yàn)樗晨康拇笮图用茇泿牛òū忍貛牛┙鼇?lái)都在下跌。5月19日,加密貨幣的損失尤其慘重,比特幣(Bitcoin)、以太坊(Ethereum),甚至狗狗幣(Dogecoin)都出現(xiàn)了暴跌,在當(dāng)天的晚些時(shí)候,才又重新回升了一點(diǎn)。

5月19日收盤(pán)時(shí),Coinbase的股價(jià)下跌了約6%。在某種程度上,這家加密貨幣交易所的股價(jià)與加密貨幣的波動(dòng)性息息相關(guān),券商D.A. Davidson的分析師吉爾?盧里亞指出:“到目前為止,Coinbase的交易幾乎與比特幣保持著步調(diào)一致?!?/p>

盧里亞告訴《財(cái)富》雜志,對(duì)那些在本周眼睜睜看著Coinbase的股票一蹶不振的人來(lái)說(shuō),這一點(diǎn)可能會(huì)讓他們感到震驚,但價(jià)格下跌“可能恰恰讓人們忽略了重要的一點(diǎn),那就是,今天可能是Coinbase有史以來(lái)表現(xiàn)最好的一天?!?/p>

他說(shuō),這是因?yàn)椤安▌?dòng)性才是真正推動(dòng)Coinbase業(yè)績(jī)的因素——它關(guān)心的是人們買(mǎi)賣(mài)比特幣……而不是比特幣的漲跌。我認(rèn)為今天人們可能依舊忽略了這一點(diǎn),這就是為什么Coinbase還是繼續(xù)和比特幣的價(jià)格步調(diào)一致,而不是與之相反,與加密貨幣的波動(dòng)性步調(diào)一致,這對(duì)Coinbase的命運(yùn)更為重要?!?/p>

確實(shí),Coinbase的絕大部分收入來(lái)自交易費(fèi)。因此,與傳統(tǒng)的證券公司一樣,交易量增加是個(gè)好兆頭,意味著Coinbase的主要收入來(lái)源有著落了——哪怕以太坊和比特幣之流的價(jià)格暴跌也無(wú)妨。Coinbase最近報(bào)告稱,其在第一季度實(shí)現(xiàn)了“穩(wěn)健的”收益(基本上與它們的初始業(yè)績(jī)相當(dāng)),該公司還表示,預(yù)計(jì)第二季度的交易量將繼續(xù)保持良好,或是穩(wěn)中有進(jìn)。

盡管如此,困擾著Coinbase的問(wèn)題卻不止股價(jià)下跌這一點(diǎn)。5月19日,當(dāng)所有加密貨幣都經(jīng)歷著價(jià)格過(guò)山車(chē)時(shí),Coinbase(還有幣安等其他交易平臺(tái))在交易或登錄時(shí)又出現(xiàn)了問(wèn)題,Coinbase的技術(shù)支持部門(mén)也于當(dāng)天的早些時(shí)候在推特(Twitter)上回應(yīng)了這一點(diǎn)。后來(lái),該公司宣布已經(jīng)“妥善修復(fù)問(wèn)題”,并承諾客戶“在登錄Coinbase和Coinbase Pro時(shí)不會(huì)再出現(xiàn)問(wèn)題”。

我們已經(jīng)修復(fù)了這一問(wèn)題,正在觀察結(jié)果,但是,在登錄Coinbase和Coinbase Pro時(shí)不會(huì)再有問(wèn)題了。我們對(duì)由此帶來(lái)的一切不便深表歉意。感謝您今天給予我們的耐心配合。

——Coinbase技術(shù)支持(@CoinbaseSupport),2021年5月19日

盧里亞指出,從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,Coinbase的價(jià)值將與“加密貨幣產(chǎn)業(yè)的整體性成功有關(guān),而這又與加密貨幣的價(jià)格有關(guān)”。他說(shuō),投資者應(yīng)該記住,Coinbase的股價(jià)與加密貨幣資產(chǎn)本身都遵循同一條規(guī)律:即,這是“高度投機(jī)性的努力,投資者可以承受的最大損失是多少,就只能夠投到多少?!?/p>

但看漲的盧里亞稱,如果幣圈投資者看到更多像5月19日這樣大起大落的日子,“只要人們還對(duì)這些火爆的資產(chǎn)有興趣、并活躍地買(mǎi)賣(mài)著,Coinbase就會(huì)表現(xiàn)得非常好”。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

編譯:陳聰聰

Coinbase hasn't had the best public-market debut so far.

Since the massive cryptocurrency exchange went public via a direct listing in mid-April, its stock has fallen nearly 32% from its first closing price, as the value of the big cryptocurrencies it depends on, including Bitcoin, has tumbled in recent days and weeks. That crypto pain was especially bad on May 19, as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and even Dogecoin plunged in a big rout before regaining ground later on in the day.

As for Coinbase, the stock closed down roughly 6% for the day on May 19. The exchange's stock price is somewhat tied to the volatility of cryptocurrencies, and analyst Gil Luria of D.A. Davidson notes that "so far, Coinbase has traded almost in line with Bitcoin."

But perhaps surprisingly to those watching Coinbase's red stock chart this week, Luria tells Fortune that the falling price "misses a very important point, which is, today may have been Coinbase's best day ever."

His reasoning is that "the level of volatility is what really drives results for Coinbase—people buying and selling Bitcoin... not Bitcoin going up or down. I think people may have missed that today and that's why Coinbase continues to trade in sympathy with Bitcoin, as opposed to in-line with the volatility of crypto, which is far more important to Coinbase's results," he says.

Indeed, the vast majority of Coinbase's revenues come from transaction fees. So, as with traditional stock and securities brokerages, when trading volumes are up, that bodes well for Coinbase's bread and butter—even if coins like Ethereum and Bitcoin are plummeting in price. Coinbase recently reported sturdy first quarter earnings (fairly in line with their preliminary results), and the company said it's expecting volumes to be as good or better in the second quarter.

Still, falling prices aren't the only issue Coinbase is wrestling with. Amid all the crypto craziness on May 19, Coinbase (and other exchanges like Binance) experienced issues with trading or logging in, as Coinbase Support tweeted earlier May 19. The company later declared it had "put a fix in place," stating that customers "shouldn't run into any more trouble logging into Coinbase and Coinbase Pro."

We’ve put a fix in place and are monitoring the results, however you shouldn’t run into any more trouble logging into Coinbase and Coinbase Pro. We sincerely apologize for any trouble caused by this issue, and we thank you for your patience with us today.

— Coinbase Support (@CoinbaseSupport) May 19, 2021

Luria notes that "long term," Coinbase's value will be tied to the "overall success of the crypto economy, which is tied to crypto prices." He says that investors should bear in mind that Coinbase's stock follows the same guidelines as crypto assets themselves: namely that it's a "highly speculative endeavor and investors should only invest what they're willing to lose."

But if investors see more rocky and volatile days like May 19, says the bullish Luria, "Coinbase is going to do phenomenally well"—so long as there continues to be the interest and active trading around the buzzy assets.

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