“越來越多我們認為有價值的東西變得越來越輕。越來越多價值集中在沒有重量和質(zhì)量的物品中。無形資產(chǎn)實際上變成了經(jīng)濟驅(qū)動力,如果我們能夠隨時隨地將無形資產(chǎn)交付給任何人,資產(chǎn)的即時性特征也意味著不必再實際擁有。”
本段摘自《連線》雜志(Wired)的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人,也是富有遠見的未來學家凱文·凱利的話,他的意思是“計劃報廢時代”即將結(jié)束。時機已經(jīng)成熟!幾十年來,人們購買了大量汽車、電器和電子產(chǎn)品,種種產(chǎn)品都經(jīng)過精心設(shè)計,固定一段時間后就會報廢。作為稱職的消費者,我們背負的期望是規(guī)律地用一次性垃圾填滿生活(還有垃圾堆)。
向過去的一切說再見吧。
但如果真如凱利暗示,數(shù)字服務(wù)和訂閱等“無形資產(chǎn)”占據(jù)上風,是否意味著制造業(yè)喪鐘敲響?并非如此。我認為目前的制造業(yè)正在經(jīng)歷重生,與二十年前軟件業(yè)的情況非常相似。
20世紀80年代和90年代,軟件都是盒裝。要獲得技術(shù)支持就得撥打800號碼還得等很久。后來,Salesforce公司出現(xiàn)并改變了一切,不再有光盤也沒有盒子,通過互聯(lián)網(wǎng)提供免費的產(chǎn)品更新。其他部分都是歷史了。如今人們不再需要購買或擁有軟件,只要點開瀏覽器或下載喜歡的應(yīng)用程序即可。
我很幸運曾經(jīng)在Salesforce創(chuàng)立初期擔任高管,至今還記得一切發(fā)生變化的那天,也就是通過互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)布第一版產(chǎn)品的日子。在此之前,軟件工程師并不知道人們?nèi)绾问褂卯a(chǎn)品。突然間,顯示器上亮起了實時使用數(shù)據(jù),那種體驗難以言喻。
如今,全世界的工業(yè)設(shè)計師和工程師都有類似的體驗。汽車工程師可以看見司機如何駕駛汽車,洗衣機設(shè)計師能夠看到人們實際使用了多少洗衣粉。忽然之間,人人都成了數(shù)據(jù)科學家。
在物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的支持下,新一代制造商可以按照分鐘來了解人們?nèi)绾问褂米约耶a(chǎn)品,從而更深入積累洞察和智慧,用以指導(dǎo)投資和創(chuàng)造。結(jié)果如何?現(xiàn)在制造業(yè)能夠提供用戶追求的結(jié)果,而不是簡單地推銷產(chǎn)品。
物理世界即將跟軟件行業(yè)一樣迎來革命性的變化。一切都變成“服務(wù)”。新世界會是什么樣?以下是我發(fā)現(xiàn)的五大主要趨勢:
所有權(quán)衰退
最近哈里斯民意測驗(Harris Poll)進行了消費者偏好變化的國際調(diào)查,結(jié)果指向同一個方向,即所有權(quán)逐漸消失。全世界四分之三(75%)的成年人認為,未來人們會訂閱更多服務(wù),擁有的實體“物品”更少。更愿意為實際使用付費而不是支付固定費用的受訪者比例大致相同。要列出訂閱服務(wù)前三大優(yōu)勢?便利(42%)、節(jié)省成本(35%)和多樣性(35%)。
物質(zhì)主義衰落
大約30年前,成功意味著物質(zhì)主義和跟身邊人攀比。當然了,只要有人存在就有貪婪和貪欲存在,但地位和個人成就感的概念正在從炫耀性財產(chǎn)轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)檎T人的經(jīng)歷。Instagram就是明顯的例子。如何解釋該現(xiàn)象?我認為可以歸結(jié)為一個詞:用戶關(guān)系,也是全新消費者觀念,更重視人而不是物品,更重視體驗而不是產(chǎn)品,重視使用權(quán)而不是所有權(quán)。
商業(yè)驅(qū)動可持續(xù)性興起
從所有權(quán)長期全面轉(zhuǎn)向用戶關(guān)系將對環(huán)境產(chǎn)生深遠的影響。企業(yè)的可持續(xù)性和環(huán)保責任將從“可有可無”變成經(jīng)濟上的迫切需求。為什么?因為現(xiàn)在制造商要負責維護并重新設(shè)計生產(chǎn)的設(shè)備,消費者無需負責。例如,汽車公司的經(jīng)營方式更像車隊經(jīng)理。如果無法有效且負責任地做到,就會在競爭中輸給對手。就這么簡單。
真正以客戶為中心的商業(yè)模式興起
知道,知道。每家公司都聲稱客戶導(dǎo)向。但是,如果商業(yè)模式極其依賴將從貨架上的商品推給匿名消費者,就真能夠做到客戶導(dǎo)向嗎?為了突出銷售渠道,犧牲了多少對顧客的關(guān)注?目前,公司的整體經(jīng)營、產(chǎn)品、推廣、銷售乃至財務(wù)都必須圍繞著客戶利益最大化,因為現(xiàn)在價值的關(guān)鍵在于關(guān)系而不是產(chǎn)品。是時候開始建立直接聯(lián)系了。
消費成為新的價值判斷標準
最后,如果想在新經(jīng)濟模式中成功,就要開始關(guān)注消費而不是銷量。要看顧客開了多遠而不是賣了多少輛車。要看用戶玩了多少小時而不是賣了多少游戲。要看用戶用了多少功能而不是下載量。那才是真金所在。那才是用戶關(guān)系的生動體現(xiàn)。
向R.E.M.道歉,這確實是傳統(tǒng)制造業(yè)的終結(jié)。但我感覺還好。(財富中文網(wǎng))
左霆(Tien Tzuo)是Zuora公司的首席執(zhí)行官和創(chuàng)始人。
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
“越來越多我們認為有價值的東西變得越來越輕。越來越多價值集中在沒有重量和質(zhì)量的物品中。無形資產(chǎn)實際上變成了經(jīng)濟驅(qū)動力,如果我們能夠隨時隨地將無形資產(chǎn)交付給任何人,資產(chǎn)的即時性特征也意味著不必再實際擁有?!?/em>
本段摘自《連線》雜志(Wired)的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人,也是富有遠見的未來學家凱文·凱利的話,他的意思是“計劃報廢時代”即將結(jié)束。時機已經(jīng)成熟!幾十年來,人們購買了大量汽車、電器和電子產(chǎn)品,種種產(chǎn)品都經(jīng)過精心設(shè)計,固定一段時間后就會報廢。作為稱職的消費者,我們背負的期望是規(guī)律地用一次性垃圾填滿生活(還有垃圾堆)。
向過去的一切說再見吧。
但如果真如凱利暗示,數(shù)字服務(wù)和訂閱等“無形資產(chǎn)”占據(jù)上風,是否意味著制造業(yè)喪鐘敲響?并非如此。我認為目前的制造業(yè)正在經(jīng)歷重生,與二十年前軟件業(yè)的情況非常相似。
20世紀80年代和90年代,軟件都是盒裝。要獲得技術(shù)支持就得撥打800號碼還得等很久。后來,Salesforce公司出現(xiàn)并改變了一切,不再有光盤也沒有盒子,通過互聯(lián)網(wǎng)提供免費的產(chǎn)品更新。其他部分都是歷史了。如今人們不再需要購買或擁有軟件,只要點開瀏覽器或下載喜歡的應(yīng)用程序即可。
我很幸運曾經(jīng)在Salesforce創(chuàng)立初期擔任高管,至今還記得一切發(fā)生變化的那天,也就是通過互聯(lián)網(wǎng)發(fā)布第一版產(chǎn)品的日子。在此之前,軟件工程師并不知道人們?nèi)绾问褂卯a(chǎn)品。突然間,顯示器上亮起了實時使用數(shù)據(jù),那種體驗難以言喻。
如今,全世界的工業(yè)設(shè)計師和工程師都有類似的體驗。汽車工程師可以看見司機如何駕駛汽車,洗衣機設(shè)計師能夠看到人們實際使用了多少洗衣粉。忽然之間,人人都成了數(shù)據(jù)科學家。
在物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的支持下,新一代制造商可以按照分鐘來了解人們?nèi)绾问褂米约耶a(chǎn)品,從而更深入積累洞察和智慧,用以指導(dǎo)投資和創(chuàng)造。結(jié)果如何?現(xiàn)在制造業(yè)能夠提供用戶追求的結(jié)果,而不是簡單地推銷產(chǎn)品。
物理世界即將跟軟件行業(yè)一樣迎來革命性的變化。一切都變成“服務(wù)”。新世界會是什么樣?以下是我發(fā)現(xiàn)的五大主要趨勢:
所有權(quán)衰退
最近哈里斯民意測驗(Harris Poll)進行了消費者偏好變化的國際調(diào)查,結(jié)果指向同一個方向,即所有權(quán)逐漸消失。全世界四分之三(75%)的成年人認為,未來人們會訂閱更多服務(wù),擁有的實體“物品”更少。更愿意為實際使用付費而不是支付固定費用的受訪者比例大致相同。要列出訂閱服務(wù)前三大優(yōu)勢?便利(42%)、節(jié)省成本(35%)和多樣性(35%)。
物質(zhì)主義衰落
大約30年前,成功意味著物質(zhì)主義和跟身邊人攀比。當然了,只要有人存在就有貪婪和貪欲存在,但地位和個人成就感的概念正在從炫耀性財產(chǎn)轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)檎T人的經(jīng)歷。Instagram就是明顯的例子。如何解釋該現(xiàn)象?我認為可以歸結(jié)為一個詞:用戶關(guān)系,也是全新消費者觀念,更重視人而不是物品,更重視體驗而不是產(chǎn)品,重視使用權(quán)而不是所有權(quán)。
商業(yè)驅(qū)動可持續(xù)性興起
從所有權(quán)長期全面轉(zhuǎn)向用戶關(guān)系將對環(huán)境產(chǎn)生深遠的影響。企業(yè)的可持續(xù)性和環(huán)保責任將從“可有可無”變成經(jīng)濟上的迫切需求。為什么?因為現(xiàn)在制造商要負責維護并重新設(shè)計生產(chǎn)的設(shè)備,消費者無需負責。例如,汽車公司的經(jīng)營方式更像車隊經(jīng)理。如果無法有效且負責任地做到,就會在競爭中輸給對手。就這么簡單。
真正以客戶為中心的商業(yè)模式興起
知道,知道。每家公司都聲稱客戶導(dǎo)向。但是,如果商業(yè)模式極其依賴將從貨架上的商品推給匿名消費者,就真能夠做到客戶導(dǎo)向嗎?為了突出銷售渠道,犧牲了多少對顧客的關(guān)注?目前,公司的整體經(jīng)營、產(chǎn)品、推廣、銷售乃至財務(wù)都必須圍繞著客戶利益最大化,因為現(xiàn)在價值的關(guān)鍵在于關(guān)系而不是產(chǎn)品。是時候開始建立直接聯(lián)系了。
消費成為新的價值判斷標準
最后,如果想在新經(jīng)濟模式中成功,就要開始關(guān)注消費而不是銷量。要看顧客開了多遠而不是賣了多少輛車。要看用戶玩了多少小時而不是賣了多少游戲。要看用戶用了多少功能而不是下載量。那才是真金所在。那才是用戶關(guān)系的生動體現(xiàn)。
向R.E.M.道歉,這確實是傳統(tǒng)制造業(yè)的終結(jié)。但我感覺還好。(財富中文網(wǎng))
左霆(Tien Tzuo)是Zuora公司的首席執(zhí)行官和創(chuàng)始人。
譯者:梁宇
審校:夏林
“More and more of the things that we find valuable weigh less and less. More and more of the value is in the things that don't have any weight or mass. These intangibles are really what becomes the driver of our economy, and if we can deliver these intangibles anytime anywhere to anybody, that instant aspect of them means that we in fact don't have to own them anymore.”
Take it from Wired co-founder and visionary futurist Kevin Kelly—the era of planned obsolescence is coming to an end. It’s about time! For decades, we’ve been buying automobiles, appliances and electronics that have been engineered to expire after a fixed period of time. As dutiful consumers, we have been expected to fill up our lives (and landfills) with disposable junk on a regular basis.
Goodbye to all that.
But if “intangibles” like digital services and subscription programs are truly ascendant, as Kelly suggests, does that mean the death knell for manufacturing? Far from it. In fact, I think that manufacturing is currently experiencing a rebirth that is very similar to what happened to the software industry twenty years ago.
In the 1980s and 1990s software was shipped in boxes—literally. Tech support entailed 800 numbers and long waits. Then a company called Salesforce came along and changed all that: no CDs, no boxes, and free product updates delivered over the Internet. The rest is history. Today, we no longer feel the need to buy or own software; we simply point our browsers or download our favorite apps.
I was lucky enough to be an early executive at Salesforce and remember the exact moment that transformed everything—the day we delivered our first release over the Internet. Before that moment, software engineers had no idea how people were using their products. But suddenly our monitors lit up with real-time usage data, and it was an incredible experience.
Today, industrial designers and engineers around the world are experiencing that light bulb moment. Automotive engineers are discovering how drivers actually drive their cars, and washing machine designers are discovering how much detergent people actually use. Suddenly, everyone has become a data scientist.
Connected devices are enabling a whole new generation of manufacturers to see how people are using their products on a minute-by-minute basis, allowing them to invest and create with vastly more insight and intelligence. The end result? Today the manufacturing industry is delivering the outcomes their users are seeking, as opposed to simply pushing products.
The physical world is about to be revolutionized in the same way as the software sector. Everything is turning “as a service.” So what will this new world look like? Here are five key trends that I see emerging:
The decline of ownership
The Harris Poll recently conducted an international survey on changing consumer preferences, and the results all point in the same direction: Ownership is on the way out. Three-quarters (75%) of adults around the world believe that in the future, people will subscribe to more services and own less physical “stuff.” Roughly the same percentage would prefer the ability to pay for what they use, rather than just a flat fee. The top three listed benefits of subscription services? Convenience (42%), cost savings (35%), and variety (35%).
The decline of materialism
A generation ago, success meant materialism and keeping up with the Joneses. While greed and venality will be with us as long as human beings exist, concepts of status and personal fulfillment are shifting from splashy belongings to engaging experiences. Just take a look at Instagram. What explains this phenomenon? I think it all boils down to a single word: Usership, a new consumer sentiment that values people over things, experiences over products, and access over ownership.
The rise of commercially-driven sustainability
The environmental implications of the broad secular shift towards usership over ownership will be profound. Corporate sustainability and environmental responsibility will change from “nice to have” to an economic imperative. Why? Because manufacturers—not consumers—will now be responsible for maintaining and re-purposing the equipment that they produce. Car companies, for example, will operate more like fleet managers. If they don’t do that efficiently and responsibly, they will lose out to the competition. It’s that simple.
The rise of true customer-focused business models
I know, I know. Every company claims to be a customer-oriented company. But how customer-oriented can you really be if your business model depends on pushing products off retail shelves to anonymous purchasers? How much customer insight have you sacrificed to your sales channel? Today your company’s entire operations—product, marketing, sales, and even finance—must revolve around what’s best for your customers because today the value sits with the relationship, not with the product. It’s time to start building direct relationships.
Consumption as the new value metric
Finally, if you want to succeed in this new economy, you need to start paying attention to consumption, as opposed to unit sales. Miles driven, not cars sold. Hours played, not games shipped. Features used, not applications downloaded. That’s where the real gold lies. That’s where the usership lives.
With apologies to R.E.M., it’s the end of manufacturing as we know it. And I feel fine.
Tien Tzuo is the CEO and Founder of Zuora.