全球人工智能熱潮讓一家鮮為人知的、擁有139年歷史的日本公司成為股市明星。
為數(shù)據(jù)中心生產(chǎn)線纜的藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社是日經(jīng)225指數(shù)(Nikkei 225 Stock Average)中表現(xiàn)最好的公司,其股價(jià)今年以來(lái)已飆升逾400%,該股將于11月25日被納入MSCI全球標(biāo)準(zhǔn)指數(shù),成為此次調(diào)整中唯一一家來(lái)自日本的新成份股,而其他八家日本公司將被剔除。
隨著科技公司和公用事業(yè)公司斥巨資建設(shè)必要的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施以支持人工智能,該公司成為“鎬和鏟”投資的典范。根據(jù)彭博新聞社的一項(xiàng)分析,人工智能所需的數(shù)據(jù)中心、電力供應(yīng)和通信網(wǎng)絡(luò)的建設(shè)將耗費(fèi)至少1萬(wàn)億美元。該行業(yè)的快速發(fā)展讓藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社自身都感到驚訝。
藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社首席財(cái)務(wù)官飯島和仁(Kazuhito Iijima)在接受采訪時(shí)說(shuō):"對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)中心的需求自2022年左右開(kāi)始激增。當(dāng)時(shí)我們尚未意識(shí)到背后的原因,但今年我們清楚地認(rèn)識(shí)到,這一切都與人工智能有關(guān)?!?
蘋果公司(Apple Inc.)是藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社生產(chǎn)的光纖電纜的最大客戶之一。飯島表示,該公司的一些產(chǎn)品擁有業(yè)內(nèi)最小的直徑,因此可以在狹窄的空間內(nèi)使用,無(wú)需額外的隧道。
本月早些時(shí)候,藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社將本財(cái)年的營(yíng)業(yè)收入預(yù)期提高了17%,達(dá)到1040億日元(約合6.74億美元)。該公司超過(guò)70%的收入來(lái)自海外,其中約38%來(lái)自美國(guó)。麥肯錫公司(McKinsey & Company)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,到2030年,全球數(shù)據(jù)中心容量預(yù)計(jì)將以平均每年33%的速度增長(zhǎng)。
輝立證券日本公司(Phillip Securities Japan)研究部主管佐佐木主浩(Kazuhiro Sasaki)表示:“該領(lǐng)域仍處于早期發(fā)展階段。隨著系統(tǒng)規(guī)模的擴(kuò)大和數(shù)據(jù)的增加,數(shù)據(jù)量也會(huì)隨之增加,因此這一領(lǐng)域本身將持續(xù)發(fā)展?!?/p>
藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社的歷史最早可以追溯到1885年(明治18年),當(dāng)時(shí)該公司創(chuàng)始人藤倉(cāng)善八(Zenpachi Fujikura)最初利用絲綢和棉花制作絕緣電線。過(guò)去幾個(gè)世紀(jì)以來(lái),該公司隨著日本工業(yè)化的發(fā)展而壯大,并開(kāi)始為新興的汽車工業(yè)、公用事業(yè)和日本的子彈頭列車提供電纜產(chǎn)品。
藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社目前的繁榮景象與2020年形成了鮮明對(duì)比,當(dāng)時(shí)該公司遭遇了十多年來(lái)的首次虧損。疫情和中美貿(mào)易緊張局勢(shì)侵蝕了該公司的銷售額。隨著唐納德·特朗普明年重返白宮,該公司決心避免在其最大的市場(chǎng)受到關(guān)稅威脅。該公司已采取措施遵守《建設(shè)美國(guó)、購(gòu)買美國(guó)貨法案》(Build America, Buy America Act),該法案規(guī)定基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項(xiàng)目中使用的制成品和建筑材料必須在美國(guó)生產(chǎn)。
飯島說(shuō):"我們剛剛在美國(guó)建立了一個(gè)符合《建設(shè)美國(guó)、購(gòu)買美國(guó)法案》要求的超高密度光纖電纜生產(chǎn)基地。即使出現(xiàn)不利于進(jìn)口材料的新問(wèn)題,此舉也將保護(hù)公司的業(yè)務(wù)?!?/p>
股價(jià)的大幅上漲使該公司的股價(jià)變得昂貴,其市盈率約為29倍,而同行住友電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社(Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd.)和古河電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社(Furukawa Electric Co.)的市盈率分別為11.8和20倍。雖然多數(shù)分析師眼下仍看好該公司前景——10位分析師給予“買入”評(píng)級(jí),3位建議“持有”,且沒(méi)有“賣出”建議。不過(guò),仍有一些分析師認(rèn)為其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手將提供更好的回報(bào)。
Ortus Advisors Ptd Ltd.的日本股票策略主管安德魯·杰克遜(Andrew Jackson)表示:"鑒于藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社的出色業(yè)績(jī),古河電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社和住友電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社應(yīng)該會(huì)有更大的上升空間。”
不過(guò),繼人工智能熱潮帶來(lái)的意外之喜之后,藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社表示已發(fā)現(xiàn)了下一個(gè)重大機(jī)遇——核聚變。這一理論上無(wú)窮無(wú)盡的清潔能源的前景已贏得了包括山姆·奧特曼(Sam Altman)、杰夫·貝佐斯(Jeff Bezos)和比爾·蓋茨(Bill Gates)在內(nèi)的多位億萬(wàn)富翁的支持。雖然該技術(shù)尚未在大規(guī)模發(fā)電方面得到驗(yàn)證,但一旦實(shí)現(xiàn)大規(guī)模生產(chǎn),預(yù)計(jì)將對(duì)電纜和電線產(chǎn)生需求。
飯島表示:"我們希望,從2030年起,這將成為電纜行業(yè)的支柱?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
全球人工智能熱潮讓一家鮮為人知的、擁有139年歷史的日本公司成為股市明星。
為數(shù)據(jù)中心生產(chǎn)線纜的藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社是日經(jīng)225指數(shù)(Nikkei 225 Stock Average)中表現(xiàn)最好的公司,其股價(jià)今年以來(lái)已飆升逾400%,該股將于11月25日被納入MSCI全球標(biāo)準(zhǔn)指數(shù),成為此次調(diào)整中唯一一家來(lái)自日本的新成份股,而其他八家日本公司將被剔除。
隨著科技公司和公用事業(yè)公司斥巨資建設(shè)必要的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施以支持人工智能,該公司成為“鎬和鏟”投資的典范。根據(jù)彭博新聞社的一項(xiàng)分析,人工智能所需的數(shù)據(jù)中心、電力供應(yīng)和通信網(wǎng)絡(luò)的建設(shè)將耗費(fèi)至少1萬(wàn)億美元。該行業(yè)的快速發(fā)展讓藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社自身都感到驚訝。
藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社首席財(cái)務(wù)官飯島和仁(Kazuhito Iijima)在接受采訪時(shí)說(shuō):"對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)中心的需求自2022年左右開(kāi)始激增。當(dāng)時(shí)我們尚未意識(shí)到背后的原因,但今年我們清楚地認(rèn)識(shí)到,這一切都與人工智能有關(guān)?!?
蘋果公司(Apple Inc.)是藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社生產(chǎn)的光纖電纜的最大客戶之一。飯島表示,該公司的一些產(chǎn)品擁有業(yè)內(nèi)最小的直徑,因此可以在狹窄的空間內(nèi)使用,無(wú)需額外的隧道。
本月早些時(shí)候,藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社將本財(cái)年的營(yíng)業(yè)收入預(yù)期提高了17%,達(dá)到1040億日元(約合6.74億美元)。該公司超過(guò)70%的收入來(lái)自海外,其中約38%來(lái)自美國(guó)。麥肯錫公司(McKinsey & Company)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示,到2030年,全球數(shù)據(jù)中心容量預(yù)計(jì)將以平均每年33%的速度增長(zhǎng)。
輝立證券日本公司(Phillip Securities Japan)研究部主管佐佐木主浩(Kazuhiro Sasaki)表示:“該領(lǐng)域仍處于早期發(fā)展階段。隨著系統(tǒng)規(guī)模的擴(kuò)大和數(shù)據(jù)的增加,數(shù)據(jù)量也會(huì)隨之增加,因此這一領(lǐng)域本身將持續(xù)發(fā)展?!?/p>
藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社的歷史最早可以追溯到1885年(明治18年),當(dāng)時(shí)該公司創(chuàng)始人藤倉(cāng)善八(Zenpachi Fujikura)最初利用絲綢和棉花制作絕緣電線。過(guò)去幾個(gè)世紀(jì)以來(lái),該公司隨著日本工業(yè)化的發(fā)展而壯大,并開(kāi)始為新興的汽車工業(yè)、公用事業(yè)和日本的子彈頭列車提供電纜產(chǎn)品。
藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社目前的繁榮景象與2020年形成了鮮明對(duì)比,當(dāng)時(shí)該公司遭遇了十多年來(lái)的首次虧損。疫情和中美貿(mào)易緊張局勢(shì)侵蝕了該公司的銷售額。隨著唐納德·特朗普明年重返白宮,該公司決心避免在其最大的市場(chǎng)受到關(guān)稅威脅。該公司已采取措施遵守《建設(shè)美國(guó)、購(gòu)買美國(guó)貨法案》(Build America, Buy America Act),該法案規(guī)定基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施項(xiàng)目中使用的制成品和建筑材料必須在美國(guó)生產(chǎn)。
飯島說(shuō):"我們剛剛在美國(guó)建立了一個(gè)符合《建設(shè)美國(guó)、購(gòu)買美國(guó)法案》要求的超高密度光纖電纜生產(chǎn)基地。即使出現(xiàn)不利于進(jìn)口材料的新問(wèn)題,此舉也將保護(hù)公司的業(yè)務(wù)。”
股價(jià)的大幅上漲使該公司的股價(jià)變得昂貴,其市盈率約為29倍,而同行住友電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社(Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd.)和古河電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社(Furukawa Electric Co.)的市盈率分別為11.8和20倍。雖然多數(shù)分析師眼下仍看好該公司前景——10位分析師給予“買入”評(píng)級(jí),3位建議“持有”,且沒(méi)有“賣出”建議。不過(guò),仍有一些分析師認(rèn)為其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手將提供更好的回報(bào)。
Ortus Advisors Ptd Ltd.的日本股票策略主管安德魯·杰克遜(Andrew Jackson)表示:"鑒于藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社的出色業(yè)績(jī),古河電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社和住友電氣工業(yè)株式會(huì)社應(yīng)該會(huì)有更大的上升空間?!?/p>
不過(guò),繼人工智能熱潮帶來(lái)的意外之喜之后,藤倉(cāng)株式會(huì)社表示已發(fā)現(xiàn)了下一個(gè)重大機(jī)遇——核聚變。這一理論上無(wú)窮無(wú)盡的清潔能源的前景已贏得了包括山姆·奧特曼(Sam Altman)、杰夫·貝佐斯(Jeff Bezos)和比爾·蓋茨(Bill Gates)在內(nèi)的多位億萬(wàn)富翁的支持。雖然該技術(shù)尚未在大規(guī)模發(fā)電方面得到驗(yàn)證,但一旦實(shí)現(xiàn)大規(guī)模生產(chǎn),預(yù)計(jì)將對(duì)電纜和電線產(chǎn)生需求。
飯島表示:"我們希望,從2030年起,這將成為電纜行業(yè)的支柱?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
The global boom in AI has turned an obscure 139-year-old Japanese company into a stock-market star.
Fujikura Ltd., which makes wire cabling for data centers, is the best performer on the Nikkei 225 Stock Average index, with its shares surging more than 400% this year. It will join the MSCI global standard indexes on Nov. 25 as the sole addition from Japan while eight other companies from the country will be removed.
The firm is a classic ‘picks and shovels’ investment as tech companies and utilities pour money into building out the necessary infrastructure to support AI. Construction of the data centers, electricity supplies and communications networks needed for AI will require at least $1 trillion of spending, according to an analysis by Bloomberg News. The rapid growth of the industry has surprised Fujikura itself.
“The demand for data centers has skyrocketed since around 2022,” said Kazuhito Iijima, Fujikura’s chief financial officer, in an interview. “We didn’t quite understand it that well at that time, but it became clear this year that it was all about AI.”
Fujikura, which counts Apple Inc. among its biggest customers, specializes in fiber optic cables. Its products have some of the smallest diameters in the industry, which allows them to be used in narrow spaces without the need for additional tunneling, according to Iijima.
The company boosted its operating income guidance earlier this month by 17% to ¥104 billion ($674 million) for the current fiscal year. It gets over 70% of its revenue overseas, with about 38% coming from the US. Global data center capacity is expected to rise at an average rate of 33% annually through 2030, according to McKinsey & Company.
“The area is still in the early stages of development,” said Kazuhiro Sasaki, head of research at Phillip Securities Japan. “The amount of data will increase as the scale of the system becomes larger and more data is added, so this field itself should continue to grow.”
The company traces its roots to 1885, when founder Zenpachi Fujikura started making wires insulated with silk and cotton. Over the centuries, it grew with the country’s industrialization, supplying cables for the burgeoning automotive industry, utilities and Japan’s bullet trains.
The current boom stands in stark contrast to 2020, when the company posted its first loss in more than a decade. The Covid pandemic and trade tensions between the US and China ate into Fujikura’s sales. With Donald Trump returning to the White House next year, the company is determined to avoid the threat of tariffs in its largest market. It has taken measure to comply with the Build America, Buy America Act, which requires that manufactured products and construction materials used in infrastructure projects are produced in the US.
“We have just completed setting up a production base, which is BABA-compliant, for ultra high-density optical fiber cables in the United States,” said Iijima. This will protect its business “even if new issues arise that are disadvantageous to imported materials,” he said.
The massive run-up in the shares has made the stock expensive. Fujikura is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 29 while those of its peers such as [hotlink]Sumitomo Electric Industries[/hotlink] Ltd. and Furukawa Electric Co. are trading at 11.8 and 20 respectively. Analysts are bullish on the company with 10 buys, 3 holds and no sells. Still, some think its rivals will offer better returns.
“There should be more upside for Furukawa and Sumitomo Electric given the huge out-performance for Fujikura,” said Andrew Jackson, head of Japan equity strategy at Ortus Advisors Ptd Ltd.
After being surprised by the AI boom, the company says it has already identified the next big opportunity — nuclear fusion. The prospect of theoretically limitless clean-energy has won the backing of multiple billionaires, including Sam Altman, Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates. While the technology has not been proven to work for large scale production of electricity, if and when it does, there will be a need for cables and wires.
“We hope that this will become a pillar of the industry from 2030 onwards,” Iijima said.