成人小说亚洲一区二区三区,亚洲国产精品一区二区三区,国产精品成人精品久久久,久久综合一区二区三区,精品无码av一区二区,国产一级a毛一级a看免费视频,欧洲uv免费在线区一二区,亚洲国产欧美中日韩成人综合视频,国产熟女一区二区三区五月婷小说,亚洲一区波多野结衣在线

立即打開(kāi)
Wall Street's big, fat fear-trade scam

Wall Street's big, fat fear-trade scam

Colin Barr 2011年01月14日

????Don't give in to the financial industry's fear fetish.

????Everyone agrees 2011 will be a volatile one for the markets. Halting economic growth, towering debt loads and a tidal wave of free money could make for thundering swings in the prices of stocks, bonds and commodities.

Quite a hedge

????But as nerve-wracking as the ride may get, ignore the temptation to sample the securities industry's latest snake oil: the exchange-traded funds and notes that track market volatility indexes.

????These products sound like a good idea, as they seem to promise protection against what feels like an inevitable eruption of market chaos. Anyone not predicting a 20% stock market gain in 2011, after all, has probably spent the past year calling for a crash.

????There are 10 such offerings out there now, including a half-dozen or so that have been launched in just the past few months. The most recent additions are a pair of exchange-traded funds launched this week by ProShares, though Wall Street stalwarts such as Citigroup (C) and UBS (UBS) have gotten into the act too. And why not? They handled market unrest so well the last time around.

????The problem is that unless all hell breaks loose the day after tomorrow, you'll have lost so much of your money on these funds that you'd have been better off blowing it on, well, anything else.

????"I would advise anyone considering buying one of the volatility futures products to dig a small hole in the backyard and set their money on fire instead," said Andrew Barber, a strategist at investment adviser Waverly Advisors in Corning, N.Y. "The net result is the same."

????Consider the leader of this pack, such as it is: The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures exchange-traded note that trades under ticker VXX. It has returned, get this, minus 68% since it started trading in January 2009. Do not try to replicate these results at home.

????The VXX is the worst offender, but its shortcomings aren't unique. Indeed, they are endemic to all the ETFs and ETNs that get exposure to an index by buying futures.

????These products are apt to lose money by the bucketful when the futures markets are trading in something called contango – that is, when the near-month contract is cheaper than next-month contracts.

????That arrangement punishes unwary investors because the funds that track volatility indexes do so by purchasing futures contracts, which have a set expiration date. As time marches on they sell the near-month contract before expiration and buy the next one, in a process known as rolling.

????When the forward curve is in contango, it costs more to roll into the future month -- which means buying a diminishing number of new contracts with invested funds, reducing the net value of the portfolio. This feature is charmingly known as negative roll yield.

????This problem is especially stark when the futures curve is sharply in contango, which it has been in recent years for the volatility indexes -- as well as for commodities such as oil and natural gas.

????Persistent roll costs and fees, among other things, mean holders of these products can end up lagging behind during rallies and falling harder during declines. The Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index, for instance, is down 12% over the past year. But the VXX, which supposedly tracks the VIX, has lost two-thirds of its value (see chart, right). This is not the best formula for protecting your nest egg.

Not keeping up with the VIXes

????"When the contango is this steep, it's almost impossible to make money buying these products," said Matt Hougan, who follows ETFs for the IndexUniverse.com.

????Not that poor performance and structural limitations have dimmed the allure of the VXX, mind you. Hougan says anxiety-ridden types poured $2.4 billion into the VXX in 2010.

????To say that bet didn't come in is something of an understatement: At year-end, the fund's asset value was just $1.4 billion, meaning the fund vaporized at least $1 billion last year.

????"It is a mark of shame to destroy that much investor capital in such a short time," said Hougan. Accordingly, his third-favorite ETF investing theme of 2011 is to "buy anything but the VXX."

????Barclays (BCS), the giant British bank that sponsors this exercise in wanton wealth destruction, declines to comment on the VXX's performance. But Michael Sapir, who runs ProShares, the latest entrant into this charnel house, gamely defends the concept.

????He says volatility-linked exchange-traded products can be useful for "investors seeking a negative correlation to equities, and who want to express a directional view on volatility."

????Alas, this is hogwash. Barber says there is an easier way to hedge against a drop in stock prices. "An investor looking for a 'negative correlation' to indices would buy a put option and call it a day," he said.

????Sapir adds, in the best tradition of those defending the indefensible, that "our product is for sophisticated investors. We don't see these types of products as being appropriate for unsophisticated investors."

????You'd think the sophisticates would hardly need an ETF or ETN tied to volatility. Cool as they are, they might as well sign the appropriate forms at the CBOE and play the futures themselves, rather than paying ProShares or whoever the better part of 1% a year in expenses.

????But talking about sophistication is a handy diversionary tactic if nothing else, as we saw most recently when Goldman Sachs (GS) was called on the carpet for ripping off some chumps that stumbled into its subprime debt cross hairs. When you're caught doing something that doesn't smell quite right, it just feels right to describe the fall guy as sophisticated.

????And who knows. Perhaps the sophisticates really are either buying and selling these products at a rapid clip -- which is the only way they could possibly be of any use -- or, alternatively, are OK with losing two-thirds of their money. The more power to them.

????If neither of those conditions describes you, you'd probably do well to swear off the exchange-traded volatility trackers. But then, that is true of so many of the exciting new products churned out nowadays by the financial industry.

????"It's hard for me to imagine who would buy that product, but it isn't hard to imagine who would sell it," said Jack Bogle, the Vanguard founder who now runs the Valley Forge, Pa., mutual fund firm's financial markets research center. "I would say it's beyond my comprehension why they're selling such a thing, but I know all too well what the answer is."

掃碼打開(kāi)財(cái)富Plus App
夜夜骚AV-D,亚洲VA中文字幕无码毛片| 美女哺乳久久精品免费视频| 久久窝窝国产精品午夜看片| 国产乱色精品成人免费| 人人妻人人爽人人添夜夜欢视频| 天天躁狠狠躁狠狠躁性色av| 久久国产精品久久国产精品| 中文字幕日本免费视片| 亚洲AV无码电影网| 岳的又肥又大水多啊喷了视频| 日日摸夜夜添夜夜添高潮| 一区二区亚洲欧洲无码AV| 日韩免费无码视频一区二区三区| 伊人久久大香线焦AV综合影院| 国产精品狼人久久久久影院| 国内大量揄拍人妻在线视频| 国产日韩精品亚洲二区视频| 国产真实伦在线观看| 无码heyzo天然素人在线观看| 一本色道久久综合精品| 亚洲精品熟女国产| 久久久久久久岛国免费AV| 精品视频一区二区三区中文字幕| 久久久久久久久久久高潮一区二区| 欧美自拍另类欧美综合图区| 在线看黄Ⅴ免费网站免费看| 精品一区二区三区免费视频| 久久精品成人无码AV片观看| 高潮精品呻吟久久无码| 精品香蕉久久久午夜福利| 欧美XXXX做受性欧美88| 久久99热精品这里久久精品| 久久亚洲色一区二区三区,| 俺也来俺也去俺也射| 精品亚洲AV乱码一区二区三区| 激情久久AV一区AV二区AV三区| jizzjizzjizz亚洲熟妇 | 国产精品高潮呻吟久久AV| 日本激情夜色网站| 97国产婷婷综合在线视频| 男人扒女人添高潮视频|