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預(yù)算若遭歐盟拒絕,意大利將面臨災(zāi)難

預(yù)算若遭歐盟拒絕,意大利將面臨災(zāi)難

財富中文網(wǎng) 2016-10-26
意大利需要更多的預(yù)算,用來支持震后重建工作、應(yīng)對移民危機(jī)問題,但首先須得獲得歐盟的妥協(xié)批準(zhǔn)。

意大利經(jīng)濟(jì)部長近日表示,歐盟需在二選一中做出抉擇,或者允許意大利提高預(yù)算赤字以應(yīng)對地震和移民危機(jī),或者采取“匈牙利模式”,設(shè)置阻擋難民入境的路障,他還稱若歐盟選擇后者,意大利將面臨災(zāi)難。

皮埃爾·卡洛·帕多安接受《共和國報》采訪時稱:“歐盟必須決定采取何種選擇。他們可以選擇允許我們將赤字率從2%調(diào)高至2.3%(即赤字占GDP總值的比率),以應(yīng)對災(zāi)后重建和移民突發(fā)事件?!?

“亦或者,他們可以采取匈牙利的方式,筑起高墻,將移民擋在門外。但是我們不接受此方法,因?yàn)檫@將是終結(jié)的開始?!?/p>

上周,憲政改革公投舉行前,意大利政府發(fā)布了2017年預(yù)算增加計劃,此后意大利政府強(qiáng)化了反歐盟的言辭,而這可能將決定意大利總理馬泰奧·倫齊(Matteo Renzi)的政治前途。

此前增加預(yù)算的方案中,通過了預(yù)算赤字和政府債務(wù)目標(biāo),而羅馬堅(jiān)稱需留有財政余地,以應(yīng)對地中海邊境的移民危機(jī),以及八月份大地震的災(zāi)后重建工作。

歐洲委員會官員稱對此計劃表示擔(dān)憂,正在考慮向意大利發(fā)出警告函。

對意大利政府來講另一則不幸的消息是,周五,惠譽(yù)評級公司下調(diào)了對意大利的評級展望,理由是意大利經(jīng)濟(jì)增長緩慢、債務(wù)繁重,以及12月4日公投結(jié)果的不確定性,均給這一歐元區(qū)第三大經(jīng)濟(jì)體帶來了風(fēng)險?;葑u(yù)稱由于意大利存在“財政改革一再推遲、任務(wù)后置”等記錄,因而降低了該國的信用。

帕多安稱,意大利在應(yīng)對移民和難民流入方面,比其他任何國家的投入都要多。

他還說,“迄今為止,沒有人認(rèn)可我們在財政方面做出的努力。這是個政治問題,關(guān)乎國家的未來命運(yùn)?!?/p>

倫齊周五的言論則更具挑釁意味,稱不會被歐盟左右,亦不會修改預(yù)算法:“我們要滿足意大利民眾的需求,而非迎合所謂的技術(shù)專家統(tǒng)治?!?/p>

民意調(diào)查顯示,倫齊打算降低參議院的地位、將權(quán)力集中,因而他可能會輸?shù)艄?。不過他已經(jīng)采取了一些可能拉到選票的方式,并整理好了預(yù)算。(財富中文網(wǎng))

譯者:司慧杰/汪皓

Italy’s economy minister said on Sunday the European Union must choose between allowing Rome to raise its deficit to cope with a recent earthquake and the migrant crisis, or the “Hungarian way” of putting up barriers, which he said would spell doom for the bloc.

“Europe must choose which side to take. They can accept the fact that our deficit goes up from 2 percent to 2.3 percent (of gross domestic product) to tackle the earthquake and the migrant emergencies,” Pier Carlo Padoan told la Repubblica daily in an interview.

“Or they can choose the Hungarian way, which puts up walls against the migrants and must be rejected. That would be the beginning of the end.”

The Italian government has been stepping up an anti-Brussels rhetoric after unveiling an expansionary 2017 budget plan last week ahead of a referendum on constitutional reform that may decide Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s political future.

The budget hiked previously agreed targets for the budget deficit and the public debt, with Rome insisting it needs fiscal leeway to deal with the migrant crisis on its Mediterranean borders and reconstruction after a huge earthquake in August.

The European Commission has numerous concerns about the plan and is considering sending Rome a warning letter, officials have said.

In a further blow for the government, Fitch Ratings agency cut its outlook for Italy on Friday, saying weak growth, high debt and the uncertain outcome of the Dec. 4 referendum posed risks to the euro zone’s third-largest economy. Fitch said Italy’s track record of “repeated delay and back-loading of fiscal consolidation reduces credibility.”

Padoan said Italy had spent more money than any other European state to deal with the inflow of migrants and refugees.

“So far no one has recognised our financial commitment … It’s a political problem, that concerns the future of the continent,” he said.

Renzi was even more defiant on Friday, saying he will not be swayed by the EU and will not change the budget law. “We want to address the needs of Italian citizens, not Brussels technocracy,” he said.

Opinion polls suggest Renzi may lose the referendum on his plan to reduce the role of the Senate and centralise decision making. But he has packed the budget with potentially vote-winning measures.

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