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中國(guó)現(xiàn)持美國(guó)國(guó)債:1.14萬(wàn)億美元

中國(guó)現(xiàn)持美國(guó)國(guó)債:1.14萬(wàn)億美元

Colin Barr 2011-05-18
中國(guó)手中的美國(guó)政府債券總值連續(xù)第五個(gè)月呈下滑趨勢(shì)。

????但是,據(jù)官方消息,截止到3月份,美國(guó)最大的國(guó)外債權(quán)人——中國(guó)手中仍然持有1.14萬(wàn)億美元的美國(guó)國(guó)庫(kù)券。這比美國(guó)第二大債權(quán)國(guó)日本足足高出了26%。

????一方面,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)自身也面臨增長(zhǎng)趨緩以及持續(xù)通貨膨脹等諸多問(wèn)題,令其有些自顧不暇;另一方面,美國(guó)達(dá)到其債務(wù)最高限額,這一世界最大的債券市場(chǎng)由此被拖入了極為荒誕的境地。盡管如此,與以往任何時(shí)候相比,中國(guó)都更不可能放棄手中的美元。

????經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家開始質(zhì)疑經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇的力度,有關(guān)美國(guó)主要債權(quán)國(guó)的最新報(bào)告在此時(shí)公 布。隨著投資者賣出股票和商品期貨等風(fēng)險(xiǎn)更大的資產(chǎn), 經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的種種擔(dān)心倒促使人們購(gòu)買政府債券。

????3月份,外國(guó)人買入的美國(guó)證券凈值合計(jì)240億美元。

????與此同時(shí),美國(guó)開始提高其債務(wù)最高限額。國(guó)會(huì)中的共和黨人亦以此為由向奧巴馬政府施壓,強(qiáng)迫其同意縮減開支。雖然聽起來(lái)不免有空穴來(lái)風(fēng)之嫌,但從理論上講,這場(chǎng)政治僵局有可能導(dǎo)致美國(guó)拖欠債務(wù)。不過(guò)沒(méi)有任何跡象表明各金融市場(chǎng)已對(duì)此感到擔(dān)憂。

????3月份經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)惡化前,10年期美國(guó)國(guó)庫(kù)券收益率為3.58%。相形之下,現(xiàn)在收益率降至3.18%。 這個(gè)世界最終可能會(huì)拋棄美元,但首先得找到能替代它的貨幣才行。但是,眼下這種貨幣還不知在哪兒呢。

????譯者:大海

????But America's biggest foreign creditor continued to hold $1.14 trillion of Treasury securities through official channels as of March – 26% more than Japan, the second-biggest lender to the United States.

????And with China struggling with its own economic ills, such as slowing growth and persistent inflation, the idea of China dumping its dollar holdings seems more remote than ever -- even as the U.S. hits the debt ceiling, taking the world's biggest bond market into strange territory.

????The latest report on the major foreign holders of U.S. debt comes as economists are starting to question the strength of the economic recovery. Those worries tend to boost demand for government bonds, as investors trade out of riskier assets such as stocks and commodities.

????All told, foreigners bought a net $24 billion of U.S. securities in March.

????At the same time the United States is bumping up against its debt ceiling, a fact that Republicans in Congress are using to push the Obama administration to agree to spending cuts. The political impasse could lead to a technical default on U.S. debt, though that is far from certain and there is no sign the markets are nervous about the same.

????The 10-year Treasury recently yielded 3.18%, down from 3.58% in March before economic data turned sour. The world may eventually flee the dollar, but first it will have to have an alternative -- something that isn't even on the horizon right now.

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